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Is Exchange Rate Regime Relevant for Transition from Plan to Market?

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This paper offers guidelines to the future transformation of North Korea from the perspective of the exchange rate regime. For this reason first the paper reviews the relevant features of exchange rate regimes during the first period of transition from plan until the foundation of the major institutions of a market economy. The embarrassingly rich diversity does not explain success or failure, but permits analyzing the evolving role of exchange rate from fighting hyperinflation to arrive at a sustainable inflation with the possibility to join monetary integration. More specifically, exchange rate regimes of Hungary, Vietnam and the German reunification are analyzed. Finally, the options for North Korea are outlined.

Abstract

This paper offers guidelines to the future transformation of North Korea from the perspective of the exchange rate regime. For this reason first the paper reviews the relevant features of exchange rate regimes during the first period of transition from plan until the foundation of the major institutions of a market economy. The embarrassingly rich diversity does not explain success or failure, but permits analyzing the evolving role of exchange rate from fighting hyperinflation to arrive at a sustainable inflation with the possibility to join monetary integration. More specifically, exchange rate regimes of Hungary, Vietnam and the German reunification are analyzed. Finally, the options for North Korea are outlined.

참고문헌 (12)

  1. Begg, David, "Eichengreen, Barry von Hagen, Juergen, Halpern, Laszlo and Wyplosz, Charles. Sustainable Regimes of Capital Movements in Accession Countries. CEPRE Policy Paper No. 10, London, 2003", ~ (2003)
  2. Calvo, Guillermo C., "Fear of Floating. NBER WP 7993, 2000", ~ (2000)
  3. Fischer, Stanley, "Exchange Rate Regimes: Is the Bipolar View Correct", Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15(2), pp.3~24 (2001)
  4. Halpern, Laszlo, "The hidden Hungarian miracle”, In : Hungary: Towards a Market Economy", pp.1~19 (1998), Cambridge University Press
  5. International Monetary Fund, "Exchange Rate Arrangements and Currency Convertibility: Development and Issues" (1999), IMF
  6. International Monetary Fund, "From Fixed to Float: Operational Aspects of Moving Toward Exchange Rate Flexibility. Monetary and Financial Systems Department, http:", external, pp.NP, mfd[DOI]
  7. Markiewicz, Agnieszka, "Choice of Exchange Rate Regime in Transition Economcs: An Empirical Analysis", Journal of Comparative Economics, 34(3), pp.484~498 (2006)
  8. Noland, Marcus, "Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas. Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington D.C., p. 456, 2000", ~ (2000)
  9. Pohl, Gerhard, "Economic Consequences of German Reunification: 12 Months after the Big Bang. The World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series No. 816, 1991", ~ (1991)
  10. Tavlas, George S, "The Economics of Exchange-Rate Regimes: A Review Essay", The World Economy, 26(8), pp.1215~1246 (2003)
  11. Thoma, Franz, "1:1 - mit Risiko, Suddeutsche Zeitung 24.04. p. 4, 1990", ~ (1990)
  12. Von Hagen, Juergen, "The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime: An Empirical Analysis for Transition Economies.” Economics of Transition 13 (No. 4 2005): 679-703", ~

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