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A NEW APPROACH TO INFINITE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS

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Classically, a countably infinite set and its infinite parts are indistinguishable relative to size. This fact has been exploited by several authors (by way of illustration, we focus on [2]) to introduce paradoxes in decision-making over infinitely many alternatives. In this paper, we observe that all such paradoxes arise from fixing the manner in which in-finite processes are to be conceptualised. A standard conceptualisation, reliant upon sequential reasoning, handles infinite, completed processes by means of finite approximations: the ensuing deletion of information concerning achieved completion leads to all the diffculties detected so far. The latter can be eliminated through the introduction of an alterna- tive conceptualisation proposed by Yaroslav Sergeyev (see in particular [11]) in which numerical specification of completions are available. We show how an extension of bounded arithmetic recently axiomatised in [9] can formalise some salient aspects of Sergeyevs approach and provide a logical framework to dissolve infinite decision-making paradoxes.

Abstract

Classically, a countably infinite set and its infinite parts are indistinguishable relative to size. This fact has been exploited by several authors (by way of illustration, we focus on [2]) to introduce paradoxes in decision-making over infinitely many alternatives. In this paper, we observe that all such paradoxes arise from fixing the manner in which in-finite processes are to be conceptualised. A standard conceptualisation, reliant upon sequential reasoning, handles infinite, completed processes by means of finite approximations: the ensuing deletion of information concerning achieved completion leads to all the diffculties detected so far. The latter can be eliminated through the introduction of an alterna- tive conceptualisation proposed by Yaroslav Sergeyev (see in particular [11]) in which numerical specification of completions are available. We show how an extension of bounded arithmetic recently axiomatised in [9] can formalise some salient aspects of Sergeyevs approach and provide a logical framework to dissolve infinite decision-making paradoxes.

참고문헌 (12)

  1. Arntzenius, F., "Bayesianism, Infinite Decisions, and Binding", Mind, 113, pp.251~283 (2004)
  2. Bartha P., "Countable additivity and the De Finetti lottery", The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 55, pp.301~321 (2004)
  3. Benci, V., "Infinitesimal Probabilities", The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 69, pp.509~552 (2016)
  4. Buss, S., "Bounded Arithmetic" (1986), Bibliopolis
  5. Buss, S., "Bounded arithmetic, proof complexity and two papers of Parikh", Annals of Pure and Applied Logic, 96, pp.43~55 (1999)
  6. Calude, C., "Infinitesimal Probabilities based on Grossone", SN Com-puter Science (2020)
  7. De Finetti, B., "Theory of Probability (2 vols)" (1974), Wiley
  8. McCall, S. D., "Armstrong, Gods lottery", Analysis, 49, pp.223~224 (1989)
  9. Montagna F., "Taking the Piraha seriously", Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 21, pp.52~69 (2015)
  10. Parikh, R.J., "Existence and feasibility in arithmetic", Journal of Symbolic Logic, 36, pp.494~508 (1971)
  11. Sergeyev, Ya. D, "Numerical infinities and infinitesimals: Methodology, applications, and repercussions on two Hilbert problems", EMS Surveys in Mathematical Sciences, 4, pp.219~320 (2017)
  12. Wenmackers, S, "Fair Infinite Lotteries", Synthese, 190, pp.37~36 (2013)

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