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자기회귀 교차지연 모형을 적용한 또래관계 형성의 어려움과 우울/불안의 종단관계 연구

The Longitudinal Relationship between Peer Relationship Problems and Depression/Anxiety Using Autoregressive Crosslagged Modeling

권석만|서수균|김윤희
한국청소년정책연구원 (National Youth Policy Institute)|2008.11|한국청소년연구 (Studies on Korean Youth)|제19권 제4호|pp. 57-79

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키워드

자기회귀 교차지연 모형longitudinal study종단연구peer relationship problem우울/불안depression/anxiety또래관계 형성의 어려움autoregressive crosslagged model.
주제분류기타사회과학

초록

본 연구의 목적은 또래관계 형성의 어려움과 우울/불안 사이의 인과적 관계를 검증하는데 있다. 한국청소년패널자료의 초등학교 4학년(N=2,607)을 대상으로 실시된 3년간의 종단자료에 대해 자기회귀 교차지연 모형(autoregressive crosslagged model)을 적용하여 또래관계 형성의 어려움과 우울/불안이 상호간에 미치는 영향력을 분석하였다. 분석결과, (1) 또래관계 형성의 어려움은 우울/불안에 통계적으로 유의미한 영향력을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. (2) 역으로, 우울/불안이 또래관계 형성의 어려움에 미치는 영향력도 유의미하였지만, 또래관계 형성의 어려움이 우울/불안에 미치는 영향력에 비해서는 그 정도가 상대적으로 작았다. 즉, 인과관계의 방향에 있어서는 두 변인은 상호간에 영향을 미쳤지만, 인과관계의 정도에 있어서는 또래관계 형성의 어려움이 우울/불안에 더 많은 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. (3) 또한 이러한 두 변인간의 관계성에 있어 남녀 성별차는 없는 것으로 나타났다. 끝으로 본 연구결과의 의의와 한계를 지적하고 후속연구에 대해 제안하였다.

Abstract

The study examined the causal relationship between depression/anxiety and peer relationship problems. This was done by analyzing the prospective relations between depression/anxiety and peer relationship problems using three waves of data from the Korean Youth Panel Study (cohorts of fourth graders in elementary school), using autoregressive crosslagged modeling. The results showed that (1) peer relationship problems had statistically significant and consistent effects on depression/anxiety (2) depression/anxiety had a statistically significant, but very small effect on peer relationship problems when compared to the prospective effect of peer alienation on depression/anxiety. In summary, regarding the direction of the causal relationship, depression/anxiety and peer relationship problems are reciprocally related; however, regarding the magnitude of the causal relationship, peer alienation has a more powerful effect on depression/anxiety. Finally, no gender differences were found in the relationship between two constructs. Finally, the limitations of the present study and suggestions for future studies were discussed.

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