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Business Cycle Synchronization between the European Union and Korea

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초록

In the recent 20 years, the capital flows between Korea and European Union have increased and diversified. In particular, the business cycles of two economies have shown similar patterns since the Global Financial Crisis. This study examines both trends and investigates the roles of finance and trade on business cycle co-movements between two economies. The empirical results show that the business cycles can diverge due to either the common shocks or the country-specific shocks. Furthermore, financial integration increases the business cycle co-movements driven by both the country-specific shocks and the common shocks between two economies.

Abstract

In the recent 20 years, the capital flows between Korea and European Union have increased and diversified. In particular, the business cycles of two economies have shown similar patterns since the Global Financial Crisis. This study examines both trends and investigates the roles of finance and trade on business cycle co-movements between two economies. The empirical results show that the business cycles can diverge due to either the common shocks or the country-specific shocks. Furthermore, financial integration increases the business cycle co-movements driven by both the country-specific shocks and the common shocks between two economies.

참고문헌 (14)

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  11. Kalemli-Ozcan, S., "Financial regulation, financial globalization, and the synchronization of economic activity", Journal of Finance, 68(3), pp.1179~1228 (2013)
  12. Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence, "Levine, R", National Bureau of Economic Research, ~, pp.NBER Working Papers, no. 10766 (2004)
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  14. Pyun, J. H., "Capital and credit market integration and real economic contagion during the global financial crisis", Journal of International Money and Finance, 67, pp.172~193 (2016)

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