A Prediction Method for Short-Term Wind Power Generation using Feature Vector Extraction of Wind Direction and Wind Speed in Jeju Island
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In this paper, we propose a wind power forecasting method that takes into consideration wind characteristics to improve the accuracy of wind power prediction. The proposed method involves extracting wind characteristics and predicting power generation. Correlation analysis of power generation amount, wind direction, and wind speed is performed for extracting wind characteristics. Based on the correlation between the wind direction and the wind speed, the feature vector is extracted by clustering using the K-means method. In the prediction part, machine learning is performed using the SVR (support vector regression) that generalizes the SVM (support vector machine) so that an arbitrary real value can be predicted. To verify the accuracy and feasibility of the proposed method, we used the data collected from three different locations of the Jeju Island wind farm. Experimental results show that the error of the proposed method is better than that of existing wind power generation methods.
Abstract
In this paper, we propose a wind power forecasting method that takes into consideration wind characteristics to improve the accuracy of wind power prediction. The proposed method involves extracting wind characteristics and predicting power generation. Correlation analysis of power generation amount, wind direction, and wind speed is performed for extracting wind characteristics. Based on the correlation between the wind direction and the wind speed, the feature vector is extracted by clustering using the K-means method. In the prediction part, machine learning is performed using the SVR (support vector regression) that generalizes the SVM (support vector machine) so that an arbitrary real value can be predicted. To verify the accuracy and feasibility of the proposed method, we used the data collected from three different locations of the Jeju Island wind farm. Experimental results show that the error of the proposed method is better than that of existing wind power generation methods.
참고문헌 (12)
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