본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

Historical narratives of Brazil’s regime change: a time-centered framework

0

조회

0

다운로드

0

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류지역학

초록

This article presents a timecentered framework for analyzing institutional change, focusing on the interplay of trends, routines, and events to construct causal narratives that respect the temporal dynamics of historical processes. Using Brazil’s national regime changes as case studies, the framework demonstrates how temporal concepts can unravel multicausal processes, structure them coherently, and reveal their temporal causalities. By accounting for variations in duration, pace, and trajectory, the framework offers a robust tool for understanding macrooutcomes while emphasizing temporal and causal heterogeneity. It contributes to the study of institutional change by facilitating comparative analysis and enhancing the validity of explanations through timesensitive historical reconstruction.

Abstract

This article presents a timecentered framework for analyzing institutional change, focusing on the interplay of trends, routines, and events to construct causal narratives that respect the temporal dynamics of historical processes. Using Brazil’s national regime changes as case studies, the framework demonstrates how temporal concepts can unravel multicausal processes, structure them coherently, and reveal their temporal causalities. By accounting for variations in duration, pace, and trajectory, the framework offers a robust tool for understanding macrooutcomes while emphasizing temporal and causal heterogeneity. It contributes to the study of institutional change by facilitating comparative analysis and enhancing the validity of explanations through timesensitive historical reconstruction.

참고문헌 (47)

  1. Abbott, A., "Sequences of social events : Concepts and methods for the analysis of order in social processes", Historical Methods, 16(4), pp.129~147 (1983)
  2. Abbott, A., "Conceptions of time and events in social science methods : Causal and narrative approaches", Historical Methods, 23(4), pp.140~150 (1990)
  3. Abbott, A., "Time matters" (2001), University of Chicago Press
  4. Aminzade, R., "Historical sociology and time", Sociological Methods & Research, 20(4), pp.456~480 (1992)
  5. Arthur, W. B., "Increasing returns and path dependence in the economy" (1994), University of Michigan Press
  6. Braudel, F., "The Mediterranean and the Mediterranean world in the age of Philip II" (1972), Harper & Row
  7. Burns, E. B., "A history of Brazil" (1993), Columbia University Press
  8. Büthe, T., "Taking temporality seriously : Modeling history and the use of narratives as evidence", American Political Science Review, 96(3), pp.481~493 (2002)
  9. Callinicos, A., "Making history: Agency, structure, and change in social theory" (1988), Cornell University Press
  10. Capoccia, G., "The study of critical junctures : Theory, narrative, and counterfactuals in historical institutionalism", World Politics, 59(4), pp.341~369 (2007)
  11. Capoccia, G., "When do institutions ‘bite’ : Historical institutionalism and the politics of change", Comparative Political Studies, 49(8), pp.1095~1127 (2016)
  12. Clark, C., "Time and power: Visions of history in German politics, from the Thirty Years’ War to the Third Reich" (2019), Princeton University Press
  13. Collier, R. B., "Shaping the political arena: Critical junctures, the labor movement, and regime dynamics in Latin America" (1991), Princeton University Press
  14. Diniz, E., "História geral da civilização brasileira: O Brasil republicano. Vol. 3 Sociedade e Política (1930-1964)", pp.77~120 (1981), Editora Bertrand Brasil
  15. Douglas, M., "How institutions think" (1986), Syracuse University Press
  16. Fausto, B., "História concisa do Brasil" (2015), Editora da Universidade de São Paulo
  17. Gerschewski, J., "Explanations of institutional change : Reflecting on a"missing diagonal"", American Political Science Review, 115(1), pp.218~233 (2021)
  18. Griffin, L. J., "Temporality, events, and explanation in historical sociology : An introduction", Sociological Methods & Research, 20(4), pp.403~427 (1992)
  19. Grzymala-Busse, A., "Time will tell? Temporality and the analysis of causal mechanisms and processes", Comparative Political Studies, 44(9), pp.1267~1297 (2010)
  20. Hall, J. R., "Temporality, social action, and the problem of quantification in historical analysis", Historical Methods, 17(4), pp.206~218 (1984)
  21. Hall, P. A., "Political science and the three new institutionalisms", Political Studies, 44(5), pp.936~957 (1996)
  22. Hay, C., "Political analysis : A Critical Introduction" (2002), Palgrave
  23. Hirschman, D., "Transitional temporality", Sociological Theory, 39(1), pp.48~58 (2020)
  24. Imerman, D., "Contested legitimacy and institutional change : Unpacking the dynamics of institutional legitimacy", International Studies Review, 20(1), pp.74~100 (2018)
  25. Krasner, S. D., "Approaches to the state : Alternative conceptions and historical dynamics", Comparative Politics, 16(2), pp.223~246 (1984)
  26. Linz, J. J., "Problems of democratic transition and consolidation : Southern Europe" (1996), Johns Hopkins University Press
  27. Mahoney, J., "Rethinking agency and structure in the study of regime change", Studies in Comparative International Development, 34(2), pp.3~32 (1999)
  28. Mahoney, J., "Explaining institutional change: Ambiguity, agency, and power" (2010), Cambridge University Press
  29. Mahoney, J., "Path dependence in historical sociology", Theory and Society, 29(4), pp.507~548 (2000)
  30. Mahoney, J., "Qualitative methodology and comparative politics", Comparative Political Studies, 40(2), pp.122~144 (2007)
  31. Transitions to democracy and democratic consolidation : Theoretical and comparative issues, "Mainwaring, S.", Kellogg Institute of International Studies, University of Notre Dame Press, ~, pp.Working Paper No. 130 (1989)
  32. March, J. G., "Rediscovering institutions : The organizational basis of politics" (1989), The Free Press
  33. North, D. C., "Institutions, institutional change, and economic performance" (1990), Cambridge University Press
  34. O’Donnell, G. A., "Modernization and bureaucratic-authoritarianism" (1973), Institute of International Studies
  35. Ostrom, E., "Rational choice theory and institutional analysis : Toward complementarity", American Political Science Review, 85, pp.237~243 (1991)
  36. Pierson, P., "The path to European integration : A historical institutionalist approach", Comparative Political Studies, 29(2), pp.123~163 (1996)
  37. Pierson, P., "The limits of design : Explaining institutional origins and change", Governance, 13(4), pp.475~499 (2000)
  38. Pierson, P., "Politics in time: History, institutions, and social analysis" (2004), Princeton University Press
  39. Powell, W. W., "The new institutionalism in organizational analysis" (1991), University of Chicago Press
  40. Roberts, G., "Victory at Stalingrad: The battle that changed history" (2002), Routledge
  41. Roland, G., "Understanding institutional change : Fast-moving and slow-moving institutions", Studies in Comparative International Development, 38(4), pp.109~131 (2004)
  42. Sewell, W. H., "Logics of history : Social theory and social transformation" (2005), University of Chicago Press
  43. Skocpol, T., "Vision and method in historical sociology", pp.356~391 (1984), Cambridge University Press
  44. Slater, D., "Infinite regress : Critical antecedents in comparative politics", Comparative Political Studies, 43(7), pp.886~917 (2010)
  45. Thelen, K., "Historical institutionalism in comparative politics", Annual Review of Political Science, 2(1), pp.369~404 (1999)
  46. Thelen, K., "Timing and temporality in the analysis of institutional evolution and change", Studies in American Political Development, 14(1), pp.101~108 (2000)
  47. Tilly, C., "Big structures, large processes, huge comparisons" (1984), Russell Sage Foundation

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (3건)