해외 Gas to Power(GTP) 프로젝트의 파급효과 분석
Induced Effect Analysis of Overseas Gas to Power (GTP) Project
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초록
본 논문에서는 해외 GTP 프로젝트에서 우리나라 기업의 진출과 협업의 의미를 정량화하기 위해 참여에 의한 생산유발, 부가가치유발, 고용유발을 추정하였다. 분석에서는 LNG 터미널 이용 GTP 프로젝트와 FSRU 이용 GTP 프로젝트를 7가지의 사업으로세분화하고, 건설과 운영을 분리하였다. 추정 결과에 따르면, 프로젝트의 건설이 많은 다양한 재화와 용역을, 그리고 대규모의 금액을 사용하므로 프로젝트의 운영보다 유발효과가 더 크다. 그리고 2차산업의 수주율이 높아질수록 생산유발, 부가가치유발, 고용유발이 커진다. 기업들이 보다 더 큰 유발효과를 발생시키려면 다수의 기업이 세분화된 각 사업에 참여하여 사업간 거래를 발생시키고, 프로젝트의 건설에서는 2차산업에서의 수주율, 프로젝트의 운영에서는 3차산업에서의 수주율을 높여야 한다.
Abstract
This study analyzed induced effect of production, value-added and employee to quantify the value of company’s cooperation and entry in overseas GTP project. LNG terminal based GTP project and FSRU based GTP project, which are divided seven business were considered in analysis. Construction and operation were also separated. Empirical analysis results showed that project construction had bigger induced effect than that of project operation. And higher contract rate in the secondary industry brought bigger induced production, induced value-added and induced employee. For the bigger induced effect, many company joined detailed business to carry transactions. And higher contract rate of the secondary industry in project construction and higher contract rate in the tertiary industry in project operation also brought bigger induced effect.
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