날씨와 이커머스 구매행위 인과관계에 대한 실증연구
Empirical Study for Causal Relationship between Weather and e-Commerce Purchase Behavior
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초록
기온, 습도, 풍속, 기압과 같은 기상정보는 식중독, 불편함과 같은 생활 요소들에 영향을 미치는것으로 연구되었다. 이에 따라 한국 기상청은 ‘생활 산업 기상정보서비스’나 ‘위기탈출 안전 날씨’, ‘피크닉 지수’와 같은 일상과 날씨가 연관된 정보를 제공하고 있다. 이러한 날씨-생활 영향력은 오프라인 쇼핑행위에서도 나타나는데, 특히 대형마트의 경우 여가생활 장소 요소 역시 가지고있어 날씨에 따른 영향을 보이고 있다. 하지만 온라인 쇼핑은 오프라인 쇼핑과 같은 물리적 요소가 없기에 다른 모습을 보일 것이다. 기존 연구들은 대부분 온라인 커머스에 미치는 기존 마케팅요소들의 심리적 요인들을 사용했지만, 본 연구는 심리적 요소들에 영향을 미치는 날씨 요소들을기상청 데이터 셋을 사용하여 연관성을 분석하였다. 본 연구는 A온라인 쇼핑몰 고객에 대한 1,033 개의 유효 설문과 구조공분산 분석을 통해 날씨 요소가 온라인 구매 의도에 미치는 영향에 대해살펴본다. 결과적으로 온라인 쇼핑 구매 의도는 기온, 습도에 인과 관계를 보였다.
Abstract
Weather indexes such as temperature, humidity, wind speed and air pressure have been studied for diverse life-related factors: Food poisoning, discomfort, and others. In that, the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) has been released indexes such as ‘Life industrial weather information’, ‘Safety weather information’, and even ‘picnic weather information’ that shows how an weather like to enjoy picnic. Those weather-life effects also reveal on shopping preference such as an weather affects offline shopping purchase behaviors especially big-marts because they have outside leisure activity attribute However, since online shopping has not physical attribute, weather factors may not affect on same way to offline. Although previous researches have focused on psychological factors that have been utilized in marketing criteria, this research utilize KMA weather dataset that affects psychological factors. This research utilize 1,033 online survey for SEM analysis to clarify relationships between weather factors and online shopping purchase behaviors. As a result, online purchase intention is affected by temperature and humidity.
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