Time Trends for Prostate Cancer Incidence from 2003 to 2013 in South Korea: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis
2
조회
0
다운로드
3
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Purpose Prostate cancer (PCa) incidence is affected by aging phenomenon and performance of screening test. In United States, PCa incidence is affected by period effect of U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommendation. However, no study has reported the effect of USPSTF recommendation or aging phenomenon on PCa incidence in South Korea. Thus, the objective of this study was to investigate effects of age, period, and birth cohort on PCa incidence using age-period-cohort analysis. Materials and Methods Annual report of cancer statistics between 2003 and 2013 from National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) in South Korea for the number of PCa patients and Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS) data between 2003 and 2013 from national statistics in South Korea for the number of Korean male population were used. Age-period-cohort models were used to investigate effects of age, period, and birth cohort on PCa incidence. Results Overall PCa incidence in South Korea was increased 8.8% in annual percentage (95% confidential interval, 6.5 to 11.2; p < 0.001). It showed an increasing pattern from 2003 to 2011 but a decreasing pattern from 2011 to 2013. Age increased the risk of PCa incidence. However, the speed of increase was slower with increasing age. PCa incidence was increased 1.4 times in 2008 compared to that in 2003 or 2013. Regarding cohort effect, the risk of PCa incidence started to increase from 1958 cohort. Conclusion PCa incidence was affected by period of specific year. There was a positive cohort effect on PCa incidence associated with age structural change.
Abstract
Purpose Prostate cancer (PCa) incidence is affected by aging phenomenon and performance of screening test. In United States, PCa incidence is affected by period effect of U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommendation. However, no study has reported the effect of USPSTF recommendation or aging phenomenon on PCa incidence in South Korea. Thus, the objective of this study was to investigate effects of age, period, and birth cohort on PCa incidence using age-period-cohort analysis. Materials and Methods Annual report of cancer statistics between 2003 and 2013 from National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) in South Korea for the number of PCa patients and Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS) data between 2003 and 2013 from national statistics in South Korea for the number of Korean male population were used. Age-period-cohort models were used to investigate effects of age, period, and birth cohort on PCa incidence. Results Overall PCa incidence in South Korea was increased 8.8% in annual percentage (95% confidential interval, 6.5 to 11.2; p < 0.001). It showed an increasing pattern from 2003 to 2011 but a decreasing pattern from 2011 to 2013. Age increased the risk of PCa incidence. However, the speed of increase was slower with increasing age. PCa incidence was increased 1.4 times in 2008 compared to that in 2003 or 2013. Regarding cohort effect, the risk of PCa incidence started to increase from 1958 cohort. Conclusion PCa incidence was affected by period of specific year. There was a positive cohort effect on PCa incidence associated with age structural change.
참고문헌 (24)
- 정재영, "Current Trends in the Incidence and Survival Rate of Urological Cancers in Korea", Cancer Research and Treatment, 49(3), pp.607~615 (2017), 대한암학회
- Braga SF, "Time trends for prostate cancer mortality in Brazil and its geographic regions : an age-period-cohort analysis", Cancer Epidemiol, 50, pp.53~59 (2017)
- 송완, "Incidence of kidney, bladder, and prostate cancers in Korea: An update", Investigative and Clinical Urology, 56(6), pp.422~428 (2015), 대한비뇨의학회
- 김재헌, "Medical Travel among Non-Seoul Residents to Seek Prostate Cancer Treatment in Medical Facilities of Seoul", Cancer Research and Treatment, 51(1), pp.53~64 (2019), 대한암학회
- Lee EY, "The Korean urban rural elderly cohort study : study design and protocol", BMC Geriatr, 14, pp.33~ (2014)
- Barocas DA, "Effect of the USPSTF grade D recommendation against screening for prostate cancer on incident prostate cancer diagnoses in the United States", J Urol, 194, pp.1587~1593 (2015)
- Hoffman RM, "Trends in United States prostate cancer incidence rates by age and stage, 1995-2012", Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev, 25, pp.259~263 (2016)
- Glen Gejerman, "US Preventive Services Task Force prostate-specific antigen screening guidelines result in higher Gleason score diagnoses", Investigative and Clinical Urology, 58(6), pp.423~428 (2017), 대한비뇨의학회[DOI]
- Kelly SP, "Past, current, and future incidence rates and burden of metastatic prostate cancer in the United States", Eur Urol Focus, 4, pp.121~127 (2018)
- Bibbins-Domingo K, "The US Preventive Services Task Force 2017 Draft recommendation statement on screening for prostate cancer : an invitation to review and comment", JAMA, 317, pp.1949~1950 (2017)
- Rosenberg PS, "A web tool for ageperiod-cohort analysis of cancer incidence and mortality rates", Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev, 23, pp.2296~2302 (2014)
- Niclis C, "Prostate cancer mortality trends in Argentina 1986-2006 : an age-periodcohort and joinpoint analysis", Cad Saude Publica, 27, pp.123~130 (2011)
- Center MM, "International variation in prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates", Eur Urol, 61, pp.1079~1092 (2012)
- Kakehi Y, "Evidencedbased clinical practice guideline for prostate cancer (summary:Japanese Urological Association, 2016 edition)", Int J Urol, 24, pp.648~666 (2017)
- Kimura T, "Epidemiology of prostate cancer in Asian countries", Int J Urol, 25, pp.524~531 (2018)
- Moyer VA, "Screening for prostate cancer: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement", Ann Intern Med, 157, pp.120~134 (2012)
- Lin K, "U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Benefits and harms of prostate-specific antigen screening for prostate cancer: an evidence update for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force", Ann Intern Med, 149, pp.192~199 (2008)
- Chi BH, "Prostate cancer : recent trends in Korea", Urol Int, 85, pp.88~93 (2010)
- Park SK, "Rising prostate cancer rates in South Korea", Prostate, 66, pp.1285~1291 (2006)
- 이가희, "The Revised 2016 Korean Thyroid Association Guidelines for Thyroid Nodules and Cancers: Differences from the 2015 American Thyroid Association Guidelines", Endocrinology and Metabolism, 31(3), pp.373~378 (2016), 대한내분비학회
- Choi KM, "Prevalence of prehypertension and hypertension in a Korean population : Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey 2001", J Hypertens, 24, pp.1515~1521 (2006)
- 허종호, "The unrealized potential: cohort effects and age-period- cohort analysis", Epidemiology and Health, 39, pp.1~7 (2017), 한국역학회[DOI]
- Sung H, "Female breast cancer incidence among Asian and Western populations: more similar than expected", J Natl Cancer Inst, 107, pp.djv107~ (2015)
- Bao PP, "Cancer incidence in urban Shanghai, 1973-2010 : an updated trend and age-period-cohort effects", BMC Cancer, 16, pp.284~ (2016)