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Parameter space exploration for the probabilistic damage stability method for dry cargo ships

Kana Austin A.|Milatz Bas|de Winter Roy|van de Ridder Jelle D.J.|van Engeland Martijn|Mauro Francesco
대한조선학회 (The Society Of Naval Architects Of Korea)|2023.12|International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering|제15권 |pp. 1-16|DOI 10.1016/j.ijnaoe.2023.100549

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키워드

Ship designDamage stabilityMulti-objective optimisationParametric modelGlobal sensitivity analysis
주제분류조선공학

초록

The prediction of the statutory attained subdivision index is a challenging issue for the initial design of ships due to the design freedom offered by a probabilistic damage stability assessment. To this end, optimisation techniques integrated with a parametric model of the internal layout may generate a preliminary subdivision design, fulfilling damage stability regulations and cargo volume requirements. The present study explores using a multiobjective constrained optimisation algorithm coupled with a parametric model of a single hold cargo vessel, first investigating two design goal alternatives and secondly performing a global sensitivity analysis on the design variables for the most promising solution. The adoption, in parallel, of state-of-the-art practices shows the validity of the obtained solutions and the time benefits for designers. Nonetheless, the non-linear nature of probabilistic damage stability does not allow for clearly identifying the most impactful parameters on the attained survivability index.

Abstract

The prediction of the statutory attained subdivision index is a challenging issue for the initial design of ships due to the design freedom offered by a probabilistic damage stability assessment. To this end, optimisation techniques integrated with a parametric model of the internal layout may generate a preliminary subdivision design, fulfilling damage stability regulations and cargo volume requirements. The present study explores using a multiobjective constrained optimisation algorithm coupled with a parametric model of a single hold cargo vessel, first investigating two design goal alternatives and secondly performing a global sensitivity analysis on the design variables for the most promising solution. The adoption, in parallel, of state-of-the-art practices shows the validity of the obtained solutions and the time benefits for designers. Nonetheless, the non-linear nature of probabilistic damage stability does not allow for clearly identifying the most impactful parameters on the attained survivability index.

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