Prediction of Pine Wilt Disease Damage Under Climate Change in Royal Tombs of the Joseon Dynasty
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Royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty were designated as a UNESCO world heritage site in 2009 in recognition of their outstanding universal value, integrity and authenticity. The fact that not only the royal tombs itself but also the historic landscape forest was designated as a cultural heritage site reflects the unique cultural features of the royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty. The original historic landscape forest is based on a pine forest, so maintenance plans and projects to manage and restore it are being actively carried out, but the effects of climate change on pine trees are currently not being considered. However, the damage to the ecosystem caused by recent climate change is serious. Pine wilt disease one of the deadliest diseases and is expected to spread throughout the South Korea due to climate change. Therefore, this study aimed to predict the risk of outbreaks of pine wilt disease, which causes fatal damage to pine trees which are important elements of the landscape around royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty. We applied species distribution models to predict potential risk of pine wilt disease. The results showed an increased risk of pine wilt disease in the royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty under all climate scenarios. To prevent this, we proposed biological, chemical and constant surveillance as counter measures for sustainable management of the royal tombs and historic landscape forest under the climate change.
Abstract
Royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty were designated as a UNESCO world heritage site in 2009 in recognition of their outstanding universal value, integrity and authenticity. The fact that not only the royal tombs itself but also the historic landscape forest was designated as a cultural heritage site reflects the unique cultural features of the royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty. The original historic landscape forest is based on a pine forest, so maintenance plans and projects to manage and restore it are being actively carried out, but the effects of climate change on pine trees are currently not being considered. However, the damage to the ecosystem caused by recent climate change is serious. Pine wilt disease one of the deadliest diseases and is expected to spread throughout the South Korea due to climate change. Therefore, this study aimed to predict the risk of outbreaks of pine wilt disease, which causes fatal damage to pine trees which are important elements of the landscape around royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty. We applied species distribution models to predict potential risk of pine wilt disease. The results showed an increased risk of pine wilt disease in the royal tombs of the Joseon Dynasty under all climate scenarios. To prevent this, we proposed biological, chemical and constant surveillance as counter measures for sustainable management of the royal tombs and historic landscape forest under the climate change.
참고문헌 (17)
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