인과에 대한 확률 이론과 반 사실적 확률 궤적으로 해명된 법적 상당성으로서 인과 책임에 대한 평가 모형
A model of causal responsibility as the legal probability founded on the probabilistic theory of individual level causality and counterfactual probability trajectory
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In this paper, I formally articulate the concept of causal responsibility as the legal probability, and propose a model founded on the probabilistic theory of individual - level causality that enables us to evaluate causal responsibility in terms of the legal probability. First, I critically examine the theory of legal probability that is the received theory of causal responsibility. Second, I explicate causal responsibility as the legal probability in terms of probability trajectory of the probabilistic theory of individual - level causality. Third, I show how we are able to evaluate causal responsibility, while contrasting factual probability trajectory with counterfactual probability trajectory. Finally, I briefly show that counterfactual probability trajectories are qualified conceptually and practically.
Abstract
In this paper, I formally articulate the concept of causal responsibility as the legal probability, and propose a model founded on the probabilistic theory of individual - level causality that enables us to evaluate causal responsibility in terms of the legal probability. First, I critically examine the theory of legal probability that is the received theory of causal responsibility. Second, I explicate causal responsibility as the legal probability in terms of probability trajectory of the probabilistic theory of individual - level causality. Third, I show how we are able to evaluate causal responsibility, while contrasting factual probability trajectory with counterfactual probability trajectory. Finally, I briefly show that counterfactual probability trajectories are qualified conceptually and practically.
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