본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

우리나라 겨울철 기온의 계절 내 평균 및 극한현상의 비대칭적 변화

Asymmetric Changes in Intra-seasonal Means and Extreme Events of Winter Temperature in the Republic of Korea

1

조회

0

다운로드

9

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

초록

The purpose of this study is to characterize long-term (1973~2012) changes in intra-seasonal temperature and extreme low temperature events in winter observed at 61 weather stations in the Republic of Korea and their associations with changes in atmospheric circulation patterns around East Asia. Maps of long-term linear trends clearly show that both temperature means and extreme events in Korea have asymmetrically changed between early winter and late winter. In early winter, changes with statistical significance are less observable, while in late winter reductions in low extreme temperature events as well as increases in temperatures, particularly after mid-1980s, are obviously observed across the study region. Comparisons of tropospheric synoptic climatic fields before and after the mid-1980s demonstrate that in early winter of recent decades, active meridional circulation from the Arctic appeared in western Eurasia and Bering sea, while in late winter, zonal circulation around East Asia associated with positive Arctic Oscillation-like patterns prevailed. These results indicate that asymmetric changes between early and late winter temperatures in Korea are associated with intra-seasonally inconsistent atmospheric circulation patterns around East Asia.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to characterize long-term (1973~2012) changes in intra-seasonal temperature and extreme low temperature events in winter observed at 61 weather stations in the Republic of Korea and their associations with changes in atmospheric circulation patterns around East Asia. Maps of long-term linear trends clearly show that both temperature means and extreme events in Korea have asymmetrically changed between early winter and late winter. In early winter, changes with statistical significance are less observable, while in late winter reductions in low extreme temperature events as well as increases in temperatures, particularly after mid-1980s, are obviously observed across the study region. Comparisons of tropospheric synoptic climatic fields before and after the mid-1980s demonstrate that in early winter of recent decades, active meridional circulation from the Arctic appeared in western Eurasia and Bering sea, while in late winter, zonal circulation around East Asia associated with positive Arctic Oscillation-like patterns prevailed. These results indicate that asymmetric changes between early and late winter temperatures in Korea are associated with intra-seasonally inconsistent atmospheric circulation patterns around East Asia.

참고문헌 (35)

  1. Ballinger, T.J., "Spatiotemporal analysis of the January Northern Hemisphere circumpolar vortex over the contiguous United States", Geophysical Research Letters, 41(10), pp.3602~3608 (2014)
  2. Brown, R.D., "Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover variability and change over 1922-2010 including an assessment of uncertainty", The Cryosphere, 5(1), pp.219~229 (2011)
  3. Chang, C.P., "Intraseasonal predictability of Siberian high and East Asian winter monsoon and its interdecadal variability", Journal of Climate, 25(5), pp.1773~1778 (2012)
  4. 최광용, "우리나라 사계절 극한기온현상의 시·공간적 변화", 대한지리학회지, 49(4), pp.489~508 (2014), 대한지리학회
  5. 최광용, "우리나라 겨울철 극한저온현상 발생 시 종관 기후 패턴", 대한지리학회지, 50(1), pp.1~21 (2015), 대한지리학회
  6. 최광용, "Recent Spatial and Temporal Changes in Means and Extreme Events of Temperature and Precipitation across the Republic of Korea", 대한지리학회지, 43(5), pp.681~700 (2008), 대한지리학회
  7. 최영은, "우리나라 중부지방의 한파 분포 및 변화에 관한 연구", 국토지리학회지, 44(4), pp.713~725 (2010), 국토지리학회
  8. Cohen, J., "The role of the Siberian high in Northern Hemisphere climate variability", Geophysical Research Letters, 28(2), pp.299~302 (2001)
  9. Cohen, J., "Recent Arctic amplification and extreme midlatitude weather", Nature Geoscience, 7, pp.627~637 (2014)
  10. Francis, J.A., "Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes", Geophysical Research Letters, 39, pp.L06801~ (2012)
  11. Gong, D.-Y., "The Siberian high and climate change over middle to high latitude Asia", Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 72(1-2), pp.1~9 (2002)
  12. Gong, D.‐Y., "East Asian winter monsoon and Arctic Oscillation", Geophysical Research Letters, 28(10), pp.2073~2076 (2001)[DOI]
  13. Gramling, C., "Arctic impact", Science, 347(6224), pp.818~821 (2015)
  14. 허인혜, "한국의 이상기온 출현 빈도의 변화와 그 요인에 관한 연구", 대한지리학회지, 41(1), pp.94~105 (2006), 대한지리학회
  15. Summary for Policymakers. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation, In A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "IPCC", Cambridge University Press, 1~19 (2012)
  16. Summary for Policymakers. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "IPCC", Cambridge University Press, ~ (2013)
  17. Jeong, J.-H., "Changes in occurrence of cold surges over east Asia in association with Arctic Oscillation", Geophysical Research Letters, 32, pp.L14704~ (2005)[DOI]
  18. Kalnay, E., "The NCEP", NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, 1996, pp.77(3), 437~471
  19. Baek-Min Kim, "Weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex by Arctic sea-ice loss", Nature Communications, 5, pp.4646~ (2014), Springer Nature[DOI]
  20. 김지혜, "기후 온난화의 영향에 의한 건물의 냉?난방에너지 수요량 예측", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 26(3), pp.119~126 (2006), 한국태양에너지학회
  21. 이경미, "Analysis of Changes in Extreme Temperatures Using Quantile Regression", 한국기상학회지, 49(3), pp.313~323 (2013), 한국기상학회
  22. 이경미, "한국에서 평균기온 및 극한기온의 변화시점 분석", 대한지리학회지, 46(5), pp.583~596 (2011), 대한지리학회
  23. 임한철, "지구온난화에 의한 가정용 전력에너지의 소비평가", 대기, 18(1), pp.33~41 (2008), 한국기상학회
  24. 임소민, "우리나라 겨울철 기온과 북반구 대기 순환과의 상관성 분석", 대기, 22(2), pp.187~197 (2012), 한국기상학회[DOI]
  25. Mann, H.B., "On a test of whether one of two random variables is stochastically larger than the other", Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 18(1), pp.50~60 (1947)
  26. 문자연, "최근 우리나라 겨울철 기온의 계절 내 특성 변화", 기후연구, 9(3), pp.167~180 (2014), 기후연구소[DOI]
  27. Mori, M., "Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades", Nature Geoscience, 7, pp.869~873 (2014)
  28. 박병익, "서울의 겨울철 일평균 기온에 나타난 계절 추이의 변화", 대한지리학회지, 46(2), pp.152~167 (2011), 대한지리학회
  29. Park, T.W., "Relationship between the Arctic Oscillation and cold surges over East Asia", Journal of Climate, 24(1), pp.68~83 (2011)
  30. Sato, K., "Influence of the Gulf Stream on the Barents Sea ice retreat and Eurasian coldness during early winter", Environmental Research Letters, 9, pp.084009~ (2014)
  31. Takaya, K., "Mechanisms of intraseasonal amplification of the cold Siberian high", Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 62(12), pp.4423~4440 (2005)
  32. Tang, Q., "Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss", Environmental Research Letters, 8, pp.014036~ (2013)
  33. Tang, Q., "Extreme summer weather in northern mid-latitudes linked to a vanishing cryosphere", Nature Climate Change, 4, pp.45~50 (2013)
  34. Woo, S.H., "Decadal changes in surface air temperature variability and cold surge characteristics over northeast Asia and their relation with the Arctic Oscillation for the past three decades (1979-2011)", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, (1984-2012), 117(D18) (2012)
  35. Wu, B., "Winter Arctic Oscillation, Siberian High and East Asian winter monsoon", Geophysical Research Letters, 29(19), pp.1897~ (2002)[DOI]

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (10건)