Japan and Korea: Why Can’t they Reconcile?
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Since the conclusion of the Comfort Women Agreement (December 2015) and the General Security of Military Information Agreement (November 2016), it has been widely believed that Japan–South Korea relations have hit bottom and begun to rebound. How soon and how much they will recover depends on the Japanese and South Koreans themselves. Can the people of Japan and South Korea escape the fetters of the past? Can the two countries have as much security cooperation as the United States desires? This paper argues that the recent development in Japan–ROK relations provides little hope that the two countries will be freed from their historical yoke as the two governments have wished. Sincere reconciliation on history between America’s two essential Asian allies will be impossible for several decades because domestic politics in both countries rewards nationalistic approaches to Japan–ROK relations. In its policy toward East Asia, the Trump administration will face the same dilemma as did its predecessors as long as Japan–South Korea history disputes widen the mismatch in the two countries’ policy priorities toward China and North Korea, a problem that is beyond U.S. control.
Abstract
Since the conclusion of the Comfort Women Agreement (December 2015) and the General Security of Military Information Agreement (November 2016), it has been widely believed that Japan–South Korea relations have hit bottom and begun to rebound. How soon and how much they will recover depends on the Japanese and South Koreans themselves. Can the people of Japan and South Korea escape the fetters of the past? Can the two countries have as much security cooperation as the United States desires? This paper argues that the recent development in Japan–ROK relations provides little hope that the two countries will be freed from their historical yoke as the two governments have wished. Sincere reconciliation on history between America’s two essential Asian allies will be impossible for several decades because domestic politics in both countries rewards nationalistic approaches to Japan–ROK relations. In its policy toward East Asia, the Trump administration will face the same dilemma as did its predecessors as long as Japan–South Korea history disputes widen the mismatch in the two countries’ policy priorities toward China and North Korea, a problem that is beyond U.S. control.
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