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A Design Decision Support Framework for Evaluation of Design Options in Passenger Ship Engine Room

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초록

Most real world design evaluation and risk-based decision support combine quantitative and qualitative (linguistic) variables. Decision making based on conventional mathematics that combines qualitative and quantitative concepts always exhibit difficulty in modelling actual problems. The successful selection process for choosing a design/procurement proposal is based on a high degree of technical integrity, safety levels and low costs in construction, corrective measures, maintenance, operation, inspection and preventive measures. In this paper, a design decision support framework using a composite structure methodology grounded in approximate reasoning approach and evidential reasoning method is suggested for design evaluation of machinery space of a ship engine room at the initial stages. An illustrative example is used to demonstrate the application of the proposed framework.

Abstract

Most real world design evaluation and risk-based decision support combine quantitative and qualitative (linguistic) variables. Decision making based on conventional mathematics that combines qualitative and quantitative concepts always exhibit difficulty in modelling actual problems. The successful selection process for choosing a design/procurement proposal is based on a high degree of technical integrity, safety levels and low costs in construction, corrective measures, maintenance, operation, inspection and preventive measures. In this paper, a design decision support framework using a composite structure methodology grounded in approximate reasoning approach and evidential reasoning method is suggested for design evaluation of machinery space of a ship engine room at the initial stages. An illustrative example is used to demonstrate the application of the proposed framework.

참고문헌 (6)

  1. Aldwinckle, D, "Guidance from the Assessor: Preparing for the Unexpected", IMarEST International Conference on Safety of Large Passenger Ships – Looking to the Future, 112(2), pp.15~16 (2000)
  2. NKK, "Engine Room Fire – Guidance for Prevention", Nippon Kaiji Kyokai, 161~ (1994)
  3. Wang, J, "Multi-Person and Multi-Attribute Design Evaluations Using Evidential Reasoning Based on Subjective Cost Analysis", Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 52(2), pp.113~129 (1996)
  4. Goldstein, N, "Modified Delphi: a Concept for New Product Forecasting", Journal of Business Forecasting, 11(4), pp.10~11 (1992)
  5. Kim, S. W, "Fire Risk Modelling of Machinery Space: An Application of Approximate Reasoning Approach (Fuzzy Averaging Method) in Passenger Ship Engine Room", International Journal of Offshore and Polar Engineering, ISSN 1053-5381, 16(1), pp.48~56 (2006)
  6. Intelligent Decision System via Evidential Reasoning, "Yang, J. B", IDSL, Cheshire, UK, ~ (2004)

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