미래 수요예측을 통한 제주도 농업용수 회복탄력적 공급 방안에 관한 연구
A Study on the Resilient Supply of Agricultural Water in Jeju Island by Forecasting Future Demand
2
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Resilience is the capacity to maintain essential services under a range of circumstances from normal to extreme. It is achieved through the ability ofassets, networks, systems and management to anticipate, absorb and recover from disturbance. It requires adaptive capacity in respect of current andfuture risks and uncertainties as well as experience to date. The agricultural infrastructures with high resilience can not only reduce the size of thedisaster relatively, but also minimize the loss by reducing the time required for recovery. This study aims to evaluate the most suitable droughtcountermeasures with the analysis of various resilience indices by predicting future agricultural water shortage under land use and climate changescenarios for agricultural areas in Jeju Island. The results showed that the permanent countermeasure is suitable than the temporary countermeasuresas drought size and the cost required for recovery increase. Wide-area water supply system, which is a kind of water grid system, is identified as themost advantageous among countermeasures. It is recommended to evaluate the capability of agricultural infrastructure against drought with the variousResilience Indices for reliable assessment of long-term effect.
Abstract
Resilience is the capacity to maintain essential services under a range of circumstances from normal to extreme. It is achieved through the ability ofassets, networks, systems and management to anticipate, absorb and recover from disturbance. It requires adaptive capacity in respect of current andfuture risks and uncertainties as well as experience to date. The agricultural infrastructures with high resilience can not only reduce the size of thedisaster relatively, but also minimize the loss by reducing the time required for recovery. This study aims to evaluate the most suitable droughtcountermeasures with the analysis of various resilience indices by predicting future agricultural water shortage under land use and climate changescenarios for agricultural areas in Jeju Island. The results showed that the permanent countermeasure is suitable than the temporary countermeasuresas drought size and the cost required for recovery increase. Wide-area water supply system, which is a kind of water grid system, is identified as themost advantageous among countermeasures. It is recommended to evaluate the capability of agricultural infrastructure against drought with the variousResilience Indices for reliable assessment of long-term effect.
참고문헌 (34)
- Bates, B. C., "Climate change and water", Paper of the inter-governmental panel on climate change (2008), IPCC Secretariat
- 최광준, "제주도 권역별 농업용수 수요량 산정에 대한 고찰", 한국환경과학회지, 22(5), pp.639~649 (2013), 한국환경과학회[DOI]
- Crop evaporationspiration, "FAO", FAO, ~, pp.FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56 (1998)
- Holling, C. S., "Resilience and stability of ecological systems", Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 4, pp.1~23 (1973)
- Synthesis report. Contribution if working groups Ⅰ, Ⅱ and Ⅲ to the Fou rth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "IPCC", IPCC, 102~ (2007)
- Jeju National University, "Estimation of irrigation water requirements for upland crops in Jeju", ~ (2003)
- Jeju Special Self-Govering Province, "Jeju special self-govering province master plan for water resources management", 7~19 (2013)
- Jeju Special Self-Governing Province and Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC), "Jeju Island agricultural comprehensive planning", ~ (2013)
- Jeju Special Self-Governing Province and KRC, "Groundwater well performance unit price", ~ (2018)
- "Groundwater management status" (2016)[URL]
- 정우영, "자연재난 복구비용 산정을 위한 기법 및 실용화 연구", 한국방재학회논문집, 9(3), pp.67~73 (2009), 한국방재학회
- 강두선, "재해에 대비한 수자원 시스템의 지속가능성 및 복원성에 관한 연구", 한국방재학회논문집, 13(1), pp.309~315 (2013), 한국방재학회
- Kang, S. J., "A policy implication for community resilience from natural disasters", Journal Gyeonggi Research Institute, 121(102), pp.102~ (2013)
- 김태현, "재난관리를 위한 도시 방재력(Urban Resilience) 개념 및기능적 목표 설정", 한국안전학회지, 26(1), pp.65~70 (2011), 한국안전학회
- Kim, S. U., "Policy tasks for efficient drought management (Focus on hydrological drought)", National Assembly Legislative Survey, 2~ (2016)
- Kingwell, R., "Climate change in Australia : agricultural impacts and adaptation", Australasian Agribusiness Review, 14(1), pp.29~ (2006)
- Korea Development Institute(KDI), "Juju special self-govering province preliminary feasibility study report for intergrated agricultural water consolidation project", ~ (2016)
- KRC, "Estimation of irrigation water requirements for upland crops in Jeju", ~ (2005)
- KRC, "Seongup district rural water development project, Chapter 6 Operating expenses", ~ (2017)
- 이창민, "도시 물 문제 저감을 위한 회복탄력적 사회기반시설 구축: 1. 도시 홍수 문제 구조적 대안의 내구성 평가", Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure, 3(2), pp.117~125 (2016), 응용생태공학회
- Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs(MAFRA), "Drought countermeasure price list", ~ (2017)
- MAFRA, "Gujwa district rural demand regionalization project plan, Chapter 6 Operating expenses", ~ (2014)
- Jeju agricultural water intergrated regionalization project basic survey report, "MAFRA", ~ (2017)
- "Critical infrastructure resilience" (2009)[URL]
- O’Brien, K., "Mapping vulnerability to multiple stressors: climate change and globalization in India", Glob Environ Change, 14, pp.303~313 (2004)
- 박진현, "회복탄력성을 고려한 기상 시나리오별 가뭄 용수 공급방안: 나주호를 중심으로", 한국농공학회논문집, 60(5), pp.115~124 (2018), 한국농공학회[DOI]
- Post-Management report of underground water development facilities to public well for agricultural use, (Jeju 2013∼2016, Seogwipo 2015∼2016), "KRC", ~ (2016)
- Ribot, J. C., "Climate variability, climate change, and social vulnerability in the semi-arid tropics", pp.190~ (1996), Cambridge University Press
- Seo, S. K., "Change of groundwater usage according to increase of facilities in agricultural complex near river", 1~ (2019)
- 송성호, "기후변화와 관련한 제주지역 농업용수의 효율적 활용 방안(I)", 지하수토양환경, 17(2), pp.62~70 (2012), 한국지하수토양환경학회[DOI]
- Song, S. H., "Correlationship between groundwater level fluctuation and climate change with spring drought in 2012", Proc. of Workshop for 6th Jeju Water Resources Management Advancement, pp.47~68 (2012)
- Vugrin, E. D., "Infrastructure resilience assessment through control design", International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 7, pp.243~260 (2011)[DOI]
- Vugrin, E. D., "Sustainable and Resilient Critical Infrastructure Systems", pp.77~116 (2010), Springer-Verlan
- 유순영, "사이클론에 대한 피지의 방재력 정량화 연구", 한국방재학회논문집, 12(2), pp.55~63 (2012), 한국방재학회[DOI]