통계적 방법을 이용한 부유식 해양 플랜트의 중량 추정용 간이 모델 연구
A Study on the Simplified Model for the Weight Estimation of Floating Offshore Plant using the Statistical Method
2
조회
0
다운로드
3
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
The weight of floating offshore plant, such as an FPSO(Floating, Production, Storage, and Off-loading unit) and an offshore wind turbine,is important for estimating the amount of production material and for determining the production method. Furthermore, the weight is a factor which affects in the building cost and production time of the floating offshore plant. Although the importance of the weight has long been recognized, the weight has been roughly estimated by using the existing design and production data, and designer’s experience. To solve this problem, a simplified model for the weight estimation of the floating offshore plant using the statistical method was proposed in this study. To do this, various data for estimating the weight of the floating offshore plant were collected through the literature survey, and then the correlation analysis and the multiple regression analysis were performed to generate the simplified model for the weight estimation. Finally, to examine the applicability of the developed model, it was applied to examples of the weight estimation of an FPSO topsides and an offshore wind turbine. As a result, it was shown that the developed model can be applied the weight estimation process of the floating offshore plant at the early design stage.
Abstract
The weight of floating offshore plant, such as an FPSO(Floating, Production, Storage, and Off-loading unit) and an offshore wind turbine,is important for estimating the amount of production material and for determining the production method. Furthermore, the weight is a factor which affects in the building cost and production time of the floating offshore plant. Although the importance of the weight has long been recognized, the weight has been roughly estimated by using the existing design and production data, and designer’s experience. To solve this problem, a simplified model for the weight estimation of the floating offshore plant using the statistical method was proposed in this study. To do this, various data for estimating the weight of the floating offshore plant were collected through the literature survey, and then the correlation analysis and the multiple regression analysis were performed to generate the simplified model for the weight estimation. Finally, to examine the applicability of the developed model, it was applied to examples of the weight estimation of an FPSO topsides and an offshore wind turbine. As a result, it was shown that the developed model can be applied the weight estimation process of the floating offshore plant at the early design stage.
참고문헌 (13)
- Bluman, A.G., "Elementary Statistics (A Step by Step Approach)" (2004), McGraw-Hill
- Bolding, A., "Bulk Factor method estimates FPSO : topsides weight", The Oil and Gas Journal, 99, pp.49~53 (2001)
- 조용진, "통계적 접근법에 의한 선박 중량추정 방법 개발", 대한조선학회 논문집, 48(5), pp.426~434 (2011), 대한조선학회
- Cimino, D., "Marine Vehicle Weight Engineering", Society of Allied Weight Engineers, ~ (2007)
- Hwang, J.K., "Detailed Design and Construction of the Hull of an FPSO", Proceedings of the Nineteenth International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference, pp.151~158 (2009)
- "Floating production systems" (2013)[URL]
- Definition of a 5-MW Reference Wind Turbine for Offshore System Development, "Jonkman, J.", NREL, ~, pp.NREL (2009), TP-500-38060
- Kang, J.H., "SPSS - Get the Best Out of Your Data" (2011), Crownbook
- Kang, J.S., "Developing an Execution Strategy for FPSO", Journal of the Society of Naval Architecture of Korea, 49(3), pp.48~56 (2012)
- 이문세, "흙의 전단강도 산정을 위한 선형회귀분석모델 개발", 지질공학, 19(2), pp.177~189 (2009), 대한지질공학회
- Seo, H.S., "SPSS(PASW) Regression Analysis" (2009), Hannarae Publishing
- Sung, D.Y., "The prediction equation for bending stress of rail in concrete track by the linear multiple regression analysis", Proceedings of the Annual Spring Meeting of the Korean Society for Railway, pp.315~323 (2010)
- Walpole, R.E., "Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists" (1985), Macmillan Publishing