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한반도 기온 및 강수량 변동에 영향을 미치는 광역규모 기후지수들에 대한 고찰

An Investigation of Large-Scale Climate Indices with the influence on Temperature and Precipitation Variation in Korea

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참고문헌

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주제분류대기과학

초록

In this study we have investigated the preceding eighteen large-scale climate indices with a lead time from zero to twelve months that have an influence on the variability of temperature and precipitation in Korea in order to understand which climate indices are overall available as predictors for long-range forecasting. We also have studied the dynamic link between preceding large-scale climate indices and regional climate using singular value decomposition analysis (SVDA) and correlation analysis (CA). Based on the coupled mode between large-scale circulation and regional climate, and correlation pattern between the preceding large-scale climate indices and large-scale circulation, the level of significance on climate indices as a predictor for monthly mean temperature and precipitation was evaluated for 5 and 1% level.

Abstract

In this study we have investigated the preceding eighteen large-scale climate indices with a lead time from zero to twelve months that have an influence on the variability of temperature and precipitation in Korea in order to understand which climate indices are overall available as predictors for long-range forecasting. We also have studied the dynamic link between preceding large-scale climate indices and regional climate using singular value decomposition analysis (SVDA) and correlation analysis (CA). Based on the coupled mode between large-scale circulation and regional climate, and correlation pattern between the preceding large-scale climate indices and large-scale circulation, the level of significance on climate indices as a predictor for monthly mean temperature and precipitation was evaluated for 5 and 1% level.

참고문헌 (22)

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  2. 신성철, "극 진동에 연관된 한반도 한파와 열원의 역할", 한국지구과학회지, 27(3), pp.302~312 (2006), 한국지구과학회
  3. 임은순, "한반도 겨울철 기온 변동과 대규모 순환지수와의 상관성 분석", 한국기상학회지, 40(4), pp.441~452 (2004), 한국기상학회
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