한반도 지상 풍속의 장기 추세 분석: 풍속계 고도 보정
Long-Term Trend of Surface Wind Speed in Korea: Anemometer Height Adjustment
0
조회
0
다운로드
3
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
The long-term trend of surface wind speed in Korea is examined for 31 KMA weather stations from 1985 to 2019. Most stations, except Daegwallyeong, have several times of anemometer height changes from tens of centimeters to several meters. To minimize such height change effect on long-term wind trend, the present study adjusts anemometer height in each station to the standard height of 10 m using the power-law wind profile. This adjustment results in non-negligible trend change. For instance, the increasing surface wind speed at Suwon station, which has six times of anemometer height changes in a range of 0.8 m to 20 m, is weakened up to 67% and becomes statistically insignificant. Likewise, the decreasing trend at Andong station, with three times of anemometer height changes in a range of 10 m to 15.5 m, is weakened up to 66%. A similar weakening in long-term trend is observed in most stations regardless of positive and negative trends. However, due to the cancellation between weakened negative trends and weakened positive trends, the station-averaged wind speed trend in Korea does not change much. This result suggests that anemometer height adjustment is crucial for evaluating local wind speed trend but its impact on nation-wide wind speed trend is rather minor.
Abstract
The long-term trend of surface wind speed in Korea is examined for 31 KMA weather stations from 1985 to 2019. Most stations, except Daegwallyeong, have several times of anemometer height changes from tens of centimeters to several meters. To minimize such height change effect on long-term wind trend, the present study adjusts anemometer height in each station to the standard height of 10 m using the power-law wind profile. This adjustment results in non-negligible trend change. For instance, the increasing surface wind speed at Suwon station, which has six times of anemometer height changes in a range of 0.8 m to 20 m, is weakened up to 67% and becomes statistically insignificant. Likewise, the decreasing trend at Andong station, with three times of anemometer height changes in a range of 10 m to 15.5 m, is weakened up to 66%. A similar weakening in long-term trend is observed in most stations regardless of positive and negative trends. However, due to the cancellation between weakened negative trends and weakened positive trends, the station-averaged wind speed trend in Korea does not change much. This result suggests that anemometer height adjustment is crucial for evaluating local wind speed trend but its impact on nation-wide wind speed trend is rather minor.
참고문헌 (41)
- Guidance on metadata and homogenization, "Aguilar, E.", 53~, pp.WMO (2003), TD-1186, WCDMP-53
- 안재혁, "최근 기상 자료에 의한 부산의 세분화된 지역별 재현기대 풍속 산정", 한국안전학회지, 27(5), pp.158~163 (2012), 한국안전학회
- Cesar Azorin-Molina, "Homogenization and Assessment of Observed Near-Surface Wind Speed Trends over Spain and Portugal, 1961–2011*", Journal of Climate, 27(10), pp.3692~3712 (2014), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
- Cesar Azorin-Molina, "Evaluating anemometer drift: A statistical approach to correct biases in wind speed measurement", Atmospheric Research, 203, pp.175~188 (2018), Elsevier BV[DOI]
- A. Bichet, "Causes for decadal variations of wind speed over land: Sensitivity studies with a global climate model", Geophysical Research Letters, 39(11) (2012), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
- Chen, X., "Urbanization has stronger impacts than regional climate change on wind stilling: a lesson from South Korea", Environ. Res. Lett., 15, pp.054016~ (2020)[DOI]
- Cho, N.-S., "A study on the estimation of basic wind speed map for design of building structures", J. Archit. Inst. Korea, 10, pp.247~257 (1994)
- Cogliani, E., "Air pollution forecast in cities by an air pollution index highly correlated with meteorological variables", Atmos. Environ., 35, pp.2871~2877 (2001)
- Ha, Y. -C., "Basic wind speed map of Korea for wind resistant design", J. Archit. Inst. Korea Struct. Constr., 14, pp.75~83 (1998)
- 정대일, "증발량 관련 기후인자와 팬증발량의 변화 분석", 한국수자원학회 논문집, 42(2), pp.117~129 (2009), 한국수자원학회
- 정선하, "건축구조기준(KBC-2009) 기본풍속도의 개선", 대한건축학회논문집 구조계, 30(5), pp.37~47 (2014), 대한건축학회
- 김도용, "Mesoscale Simulations of Multi-Decadal Variability in the Wind Resource over Korea", Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 49(2), pp.183~192 (2013), 한국기상학회
- Hyun Cheol Kim, "Recent increase of surface particulate matter concentrations in the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea", Scientific Reports, 7(1), pp.4710~ (2017), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
- 김현욱, "우리나라 강풍의 기후학적 시공간 변화 특성", 대기, 30(1), pp.47~57 (2020), 한국기상학회[DOI]
- JongChun Kim, "Recent recovery of surface wind speed after decadal decrease: a focus on South Korea", Climate Dynamics, 45(5-6), pp.1699~1712 (2015), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
- 김진영, "Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Wind Observations over South Korea: 1982-2011", Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 49(4), pp.551~560 (2013), 한국기상학회
- 김경보, "기상청 MOS 예측값 적용을 통한 풍력 발전량 예측 타당성 연구", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 30(2), pp.46~53 (2010), 한국태양에너지학회
- 김수옥, "일 최대풍속의 추정확률분포에 의한 농작물 강풍 피해 위험도 판정 방법", 한국농림기상학회지, 19(3), pp.130~139 (2017), 한국농림기상학회
- Klink, K., "Climatological mean and interannual variance of United States surface wind speed, direction and velocity", Int. J. Climatol., 19, pp.471~488 (1999)
- Annual climatological report, "KMA", ~ (1986)
- 권영아, "서리 피해 방지를 위한 서리 발생일의 기상 특성에 대한 연구", 대한지리학회지, 43(6), pp.824~842 (2008), 대한지리학회
- 이광률, "기상 관측소 이전에 의한 국지 기후 자료의 변이", 기후연구, 11(2), pp.131~149 (2016), 기후연구소[DOI]
- 이승호, "한국에서 풍속 변화에 관한 연구 -1월과 8월을 대상으로-", 대한지리학회지, 47(3), pp.347~358 (2012), 대한지리학회[DOI]
- 이순환, "엘니뇨", 라니냐 강도 변화에 따른 국지적 풍력자원의 변동, 2011, pp.32(2), 180~189[DOI]
- 이승수, "해안지역 교량 설계풍속 산정 가이드라인", 한국전산구조공학회논문집, 28(6), pp.615~624 (2015), 한국전산구조공학회[DOI]
- Changgui Lin, "Impacts of wind stilling on solar radiation variability in China", Scientific Reports, 5(1), pp.15135~ (2015), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
- Lorenzo Minola, "Homogenization and Assessment of Observed Near-Surface Wind Speed Trends across Sweden, 1956–2013", Journal of Climate, 29(20), pp.7397~7415 (2016), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
- 박충선, "국내 기상 관측소의 비정상적 기후변화 경향 분석", 기후연구, 13(3), pp.179~195 (2018), 기후연구소[DOI]
- Park, S. -U., "Performance tests of the Asian dust aerosol model 2(ADAM 2)", J. Sust. Energy Environ., 1, pp.77~83 (2010)
- Peterson, E. W., "On the use of power laws for estimates of wind power potential", Climatol., 17, pp.390~394 (1978)
- Pryor, S. C., "Empirical downscaling of wind speed probability distributions", J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 110, pp.D19109~ (2005)
- Roderick, M. L., "On the attribution of changing pan evaporation", Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, pp.L17403~ (2007)
- Ryoo, S. -B., "Inhomogeneities in Korean climate data (Ⅰ): Due to site relocation", Atmosphere, 16, pp.215~223 (2006)
- Jihoon Seo, "Effects of meteorology and emissions on urban air quality: a quantitative statistical approach to long-term records (1999–2016) in Seoul, South Korea", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18(21), pp.16121~16137 (2018), Copernicus GmbH[DOI]
- Robert Vautard, "Northern Hemisphere atmospheric stilling partly attributed to an increase in surface roughness", Nature Geoscience, 3(11), pp.756~761 (2010), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
- Guidance on the homogenization of climate station data, "Venema, V.", EarthArXiv, 83~ (2018)
- Hui Wan, "Homogenization and Trend Analysis of Canadian Near-Surface Wind Speeds", Journal of Climate, 23(5), pp.1209~1225 (2010), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
- Wilks, D. S., "Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences", pp.704~ (2011), Academic press
- Jian Wu, "Changes in terrestrial near-surface wind speed and their possible causes: an overview", Climate Dynamics, 51(5-6), pp.2039~2078 (2018), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
- 임지혜, "풍속이 사과나무의 광합성 특성과 수액이동 및 엽손상에 미치는 영향", 한국농림기상학회지, 16(2), pp.131~136 (2014), 한국농림기상학회[DOI]
- Zhenzhong Zeng, "A reversal in global terrestrial stilling and its implications for wind energy production", Nature Climate Change, 9(12), pp.979~985 (2019), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
