원격상관을 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수량 예측
A Prediction of Northeast Asian Summer Precipitation Using Teleconnection
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참고문헌
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초록
Even though state-of-the-art general circulation models is improved step by step,the seasonal predictability of the East Asian summer monsoon still remains poor. In contrast,the seasonal predictability of western North Pacific and Indian monsoon region using dynamicmodels is relatively high. This study builds canonical correlation analysis model for seasonalprediction using wind fields over western North Pacific and Indian Ocean from the Global SeasonalForecasting System version 5 (GloSea5), and then assesses the predictability of so-calledhybrid model. In addition, we suggest improvement method for forecast skill by introducingthe lagged ensemble technique.
Abstract
Even though state-of-the-art general circulation models is improved step by step,the seasonal predictability of the East Asian summer monsoon still remains poor. In contrast,the seasonal predictability of western North Pacific and Indian monsoon region using dynamicmodels is relatively high. This study builds canonical correlation analysis model for seasonalprediction using wind fields over western North Pacific and Indian Ocean from the Global SeasonalForecasting System version 5 (GloSea5), and then assesses the predictability of so-called hybrid model. In addition, we suggest improvement method for forecast skill by introducing the lagged ensemble technique.
참고문헌 (16)
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