기후변화 시나리오에 근거한 한반도 미래 풍력･태양-기상자원 변동성
Variability of Future Wind and Solar Resource Over the Korean Peninsula Based on Climate Change Scenario
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초록
This study examines the future variability of surface wind speed and solar radiation based on climate change scenarioover the Korean Peninsula. Climate change scenarios used in this study are RCP 4.5 and 8.5 with a 12.5 km horizontal resolution. Climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and 8.5 reproduce the general features of wind speed over the Korean Peninsula, such as strongwind speed during spring and winter and weak wind speed during summer. When compared with the values of wind speed andsolar radiation of the future, they are expected to decrease current wind and solar resource map. Comparing the resource mapsusing RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, wind speed and solar radiation decrease with increasing greenhouse gas concentration. Meteorological resource maps of future wind and solar radiation should be improved with high resolution for the industrial application.
Abstract
This study examines the future variability of surface wind speed and solar radiation based on climate change scenarioover the Korean Peninsula. Climate change scenarios used in this study are RCP 4.5 and 8.5 with a 12.5 km horizontal resolution. Climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and 8.5 reproduce the general features of wind speed over the Korean Peninsula, such as strongwind speed during spring and winter and weak wind speed during summer. When compared with the values of wind speed andsolar radiation of the future, they are expected to decrease current wind and solar resource map. Comparing the resource mapsusing RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, wind speed and solar radiation decrease with increasing greenhouse gas concentration. Meteorological resource maps of future wind and solar radiation should be improved with high resolution for the industrial application.
참고문헌 (10)
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