Analysis of Rural Electrification with Low Carbon Options in Nigeria
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The lack of access to electricity in rural Nigeria is a decades-old issue. This study provides a basis for rural electrificationplans by projecting the plausible future supply and demand for electricity in the rural residential sector, using three alternate scenarios:EE; RE; and CP. Based on the projection, the feasible options are analyzed in terms of the total cost and CO2 emissions. The MACcurve was drawn to suggest policy priorities. Among these scenarios, the CP scenario is the most viable option in terms of both costand CO2 emissions. This scenario saves USD 1.07 billion compared to the BAU, and has the lowest CO2 emissions among thescenarios. The MAC curve provides further insight in that the residential sector should purchase efficient cooking and lightingappliances, which requires USD 6.57 per tCO2e on average. On the supply side, the renewable energy technologies require USD 38.32per tCO2e on average. Based on the findings, the policies balanced between CO2 reduction and social developments are suggested tothe Federal Government of Nigeria.
Abstract
The lack of access to electricity in rural Nigeria is a decades-old issue. This study provides a basis for rural electrificationplans by projecting the plausible future supply and demand for electricity in the rural residential sector, using three alternate scenarios:EE; RE; and CP. Based on the projection, the feasible options are analyzed in terms of the total cost and CO2 emissions. The MACcurve was drawn to suggest policy priorities. Among these scenarios, the CP scenario is the most viable option in terms of both costand CO2 emissions. This scenario saves USD 1.07 billion compared to the BAU, and has the lowest CO2 emissions among thescenarios. The MAC curve provides further insight in that the residential sector should purchase efficient cooking and lightingappliances, which requires USD 6.57 per tCO2e on average. On the supply side, the renewable energy technologies require USD 38.32per tCO2e on average. Based on the findings, the policies balanced between CO2 reduction and social developments are suggested tothe Federal Government of Nigeria.
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