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수평면전일사량 상관식을 이용한 2014년까지의 10년 국내 수평면전일사량 계산 정확성 평가

Correlation to redict Global Solar Radiation and Accuracy Evaluation of that Correlation for Korea during 10 years to 2014

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초록

Several studies have been performed to show how well the horizontal global solar radiation in Korea can be predicted using the Zhang-Huang model proposed in 2002 for China. A previous study proposed a new correlation with a new term for the duration of sunshine, which was proven to be closely related to the hourly solar radiation in Korea, into the Zhang-Huang model. Therefore, this study performed a validation and accuracy estimation of the model for all regions for 2005-2014. Another modified correlation for the regions without measuring the cloud cover was proposed and the accuracy and validity were evaluated. Finally, this study proposed a new correlation that could well predict the hourly and daily total solar radiation for all regions, seasons, and weather conditions, including overcast and clear, with greater accuracy and smaller error than other models proposed previously in Korea.

Abstract

Several studies have been performed to show how well the horizontal global solar radiation in Korea can be predicted using the Zhang-Huang model proposed in 2002 for China. A previous study proposed a new correlation with a new term for the duration of sunshine, which was proven to be closely related to the hourly solar radiation in Korea, into the Zhang-Huang model. Therefore, this study performed a validation and accuracy estimation of the model for all regions for 2005-2014. Another modified correlation for the regions without measuring the cloud cover was proposed and the accuracy and validity were evaluated. Finally, this study proposed a new correlation that could well predict the hourly and daily total solar radiation for all regions, seasons, and weather conditions, including overcast and clear, with greater accuracy and smaller error than other models proposed previously in Korea.

참고문헌 (8)

  1. 조덕기, "운량을 고려한 국내 16개 지역의 일사량 예측방법", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 30(4), pp.15~21 (2010), 한국태양에너지학회
  2. 조덕기, "국내 운량과 일조시간에 의한 태양광에너지 예측에 관한 연구", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 32(2), pp.29~34 (2012), 한국태양에너지학회[DOI]
  3. Zhang, Q., "Development of Typical Year Weather Files for Chinese locations", ASHRAE Transactions, 108(2), pp.1063~1075 (2002)
  4. Kim, K.H., "Evaluation of Meteorological Base Models for Estimating Hourly Global Solar Radiation in Texas", Energy Procedia, 57, pp.1189~1198 (2014)
  5. 김하양, "2012년 기상관측 결과와 한국형 수평면전일사량 예측식(I)", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 36(1), pp.1~9 (2016), 한국태양에너지학회
  6. 김하양, "국내의 시간에 따른 수평면전일사량 상관식 제안 및 정확성 평가(I)", 신재생에너지, 12, pp.30~35 (2016), 한국신·재생에너지학회
  7. 박상미, "국내의 시간에 따른 수평면전일사량 상관식 제안 및 정확성 평가(II)", 신재생에너지, 12(4), pp.24~29 (2016), 한국신·재생에너지학회
  8. Park, S.M., "The Time Variant Prediction of Solar Irradiation using Meteorological Observation Data(II)", Spring Conference Proceedings of KSES, 38 (2016)

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