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정확도 향상을 위한 CNN-LSTM 기반 풍력발전 예측 시스템

CNN-LSTM based Wind Power Prediction System to Improve Accuracy

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초록

In this study, we propose a wind power generation prediction system that applies machine learning and data mining to predict wind power generation. This system increases the utilization rate of new and renewable energy sources. For time-series data, the data set was established by measuring wind speed, wind generation, and environmental factors influencing the wind speed. The data set was pre-processed so that it could be applied appropriately to the model. The prediction system applied the CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) to the data mining process and then used the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) to learn and make predictions. The preciseness of the proposed system is verified by comparing the prediction data with the actual data, according to the presence or absence of data mining in the model of the prediction system.

Abstract

In this study, we propose a wind power generation prediction system that applies machine learning and data mining to predict wind power generation. This system increases the utilization rate of new and renewable energy sources. For time-series data, the data set was established by measuring wind speed, wind generation, and environmental factors influencing the wind speed. The data set was pre-processed so that it could be applied appropriately to the model. The prediction system applied the CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) to the data mining process and then used the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) to learn and make predictions. The preciseness of the proposed system is verified by comparing the prediction data with the actual data, according to the presence or absence of data mining in the model of the prediction system.

참고문헌 (11)

  1. "Wind Energy"[URL]
  2. 변재영, "기후변화 시나리오에 근거한 한반도 미래 풍력・태양-기상자원 변동성", 신재생에너지, 10(2), pp.29~39 (2014), 한국신·재생에너지학회
  3. 정승민, "배전계통 전력민감도를 고려한 풍력발전기 출력제한 방법에 관한 연구", 전기학회논문지, 71(3), pp.495~502 (2022), 대한전기학회
  4. 명호산, "제주지역 풍력발전 및 태양광발전의 전력계통부하기여 분석", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 38(1), pp.13~24 (2018), 한국태양에너지학회[DOI]
  5. 진세종, "머신러닝을 활용한 계절 시계열 예측", Journal of The Korean Data Analysis Society, 22(5), pp.1779~1791 (2020), 한국자료분석학회[DOI]
  6. Li, Z., "Application of ARIMA and LSTM in relative humidity prediction", IEEE 19th International Conference on Communication Technology (ICCT), pp.1544~1549 (2019)
  7. 안연주, "일조 시간과 일조량 데이터를 고려한 LSTM 기반 태양광 발전량 예측", 전기학회논문지, 70(8), pp.1096~1101 (2021), 대한전기학회
  8. 김대진, "기계학습 기반의 실내 측위 성능 향상을 위한 학습 데이터 전처리 기법", 한국정보통신학회논문지, 24(11), pp.1528~1533 (2020), 한국정보통신학회[DOI]
  9. "Korea Offshore Wind Power"[URL]
  10. Zhao, B., "Convolutional neural networks for time series classification", Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 28(1), pp.162~169 (2017)
  11. Kim, T. Y., "Predicting residential energy consumption using CNN-LSTM neural networks", Energy, 182, pp.72~81 (2019)

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