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에이전트 기반 모델링 및 시뮬레이션을 이용한 무기체계 가용도 예측에 관한 연구

A Study on the Prediction of Weapon System Availability Using Agent Based Modeling and simulation

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초록

Availability is one of the important factor for developing weapon system, because it indicates the mission capability and sustainable life cycle management of weapon system. Recently, as weapon system becomes more advanced and more complex, availability estimation becomes more important to reduce the life cycle cost of weapon system. Modeling and simulation(M&S) is useful method to describe the availability of complex weapon system applying operational environment and maintenance plan. Especially agent based model(ABM) has the strength to describe interactions between agents and environments in complex system. Therefore, this paper presents the availability estimation of weapon system using agent based model. The sample data of part list and reliability analysis is applied to build availability estimation model. User agent and mechanic agent are developed to illustrate the behavior of operation and maintenance using formal specification. Storage reliability is applied to describe failure of each parts. The experimental result shows that this model is quite useful to estimate availability of weapon system. This model may estimate more reasonable availability, if full scale data of weapon system and real field data of operation is provided.

Abstract

Availability is one of the important factor for developing weapon system, because it indicates the mission capability and sustainable life cycle management of weapon system. Recently, as weapon system becomes more advanced and more complex, availability estimation becomes more important to reduce the life cycle cost of weapon system. Modeling and simulation(M&S) is useful method to describe the availability of complex weapon system applying operational environment and maintenance plan. Especially agent based model(ABM) has the strength to describe interactions between agents and environments in complex system. Therefore, this paper presents the availability estimation of weapon system using agent based model. The sample data of part list and reliability analysis is applied to build availability estimation model. User agent and mechanic agent are developed to illustrate the behavior of operation and maintenance using formal specification. Storage reliability is applied to describe failure of each parts. The experimental result shows that this model is quite useful to estimate availability of weapon system. This model may estimate more reasonable availability, if full scale data of weapon system and real field data of operation is provided.

참고문헌 (9)

  1. Department of Defense, "Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, and cost rationale Report Manual", Office of the Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Technology, ~ (2009)
  2. Maxime Monnin, "A Methodology for Weapon System Availability Assessment, Incorporating Failure, Damage and Regeneration", IFAC Proceedings, 40(6), pp.157~162 (2007)
  3. 이승상, "최적 예방정비주기 설정을 위한 무기체계 모델링 기법", 한국방위산업학회지, 18(1), pp.184~206 (2011), 한국방위산업학회
  4. 유연용, "SysML 기반 모델링 및 시뮬레이션 기법을 활용한 무기체계 정비도 지수 산출", 한국산학기술학회논문지, 19(11), pp.88~95 (2018), 한국산학기술학회[DOI]
  5. R. Holzer, "On Modeling of Self-organizing Systems", Proceedings of the 2nd International ICST Conference on Autonomic Computing and Communication Systems, (29), pp.1~6 (2008)
  6. E. C. Martinez, "Storage Reliability with Periodic Test", Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, Proceedings, pp.181~185 (1984)
  7. J. W. Bae, "Formal specification supporting incremental and flexible agent-based modeling", Proceedings of the 2012Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), pp.1~12 (2012)
  8. 라현우, "개념 모델을 이용한 Arena 시뮬레이션 모델 자동 생성에 관한 연구", 한국시뮬레이션학회 논문지, 23(4), pp.21~29 (2014), 한국시뮬레이션학회
  9. 장희동, "Petri Net 모델 시뮬레이션을 통한 게임플레이 분석방법", 한국게임학회 논문지, 15(10), pp.49~56 (2015), 한국게임학회

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