기후변화로 인한 수온상승이 굴양식 본양성 생산방식의 경제성에 미치는 영향분석
The Economic Feasibility Analysis of Grow out Phase Production of Oyster Farming by Rising Water Temperature
0
조회
0
다운로드
5
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This study analysed the economic feasibility per hectare of grow out phase production of Oyster farming by rising water temperature in Ocean. Elevated Water temperature by climate change had a bad influence for oyster production and economic feasibility. In the case of production units, the total output of oyster decreases from 213,840 to 205,594 units. Using cost-benefit analysis with discounting rates (5.5%), we estimated the net present value (NPV) and benefit cost ratio (BCR) until 2100 years. The model results showed that the NPV without water temperature rise was 1,565,619,893 won and the NPV with water temperature rise was 1,540,493,059 won. Also, BCR estimated that the former was 2.095 better than the latter was 2.077. To summarise, the economic effect per hectare of water temperature rise in ocean did the damage to the economic loss about 25,126,834 won.
Abstract
This study analysed the economic feasibility per hectare of grow out phase production of Oyster farming by rising water temperature in Ocean. Elevated Water temperature by climate change had a bad influence for oyster production and economic feasibility. In the case of production units, the total output of oyster decreases from 213,840 to 205,594 units. Using cost-benefit analysis with discounting rates (5.5%), we estimated the net present value (NPV) and benefit cost ratio (BCR) until 2100 years. The model results showed that the NPV without water temperature rise was 1,565,619,893 won and the NPV with water temperature rise was 1,540,493,059 won. Also, BCR estimated that the former was 2.095 better than the latter was 2.077. To summarise, the economic effect per hectare of water temperature rise in ocean did the damage to the economic loss about 25,126,834 won.
참고문헌 (18)
- 강석규, "제주 시범바다목장사업의 어업편익 추정과 경제성 평가", 수산경영론집, 44(3), pp.29~46 (2013), 한국수산경영학회[DOI]
- 강윤호, "기후변화로 인한 신지도 근해 해양먹이망 변동예측", Ocean and Polar Research, 34(2), pp.239~251 (2012), 한국해양과학기술원[DOI]
- 김도훈, "The Relationship between Climatic and Oceanographic Factors and Laver Aquaculture Production", 수산경영론집, 44(3), pp.77~84 (2013), 한국수산경영학회[DOI]
- 송영출, "재무분석", pp.485~ (2002), 신영사
- 오호성, "환경경제학", pp.517~ (2002), 법문사
- 장창익, "남서부 동해에서 1970년대의 기후체제전환이 생태계의 구조에 미친 영향", 한국수산과학회지, 36(4) (2003), 한국수산과학회
- 주세종, "기후변화가 남해 해양생태계에 미치는 영향평가", Ocean and Polar Research, 34(2), pp.197~199 (2012), 한국해양과학기술원[DOI]
- 최종두, "태안시범바다목장해역내 인공어초사업의 경제적 효과에 대한 연구", 수산경영론집, 44(3), pp.103~109 (2013), 한국수산경영학회[DOI]
- 수산재해에 따른 양식공제시험사업 설계: 굴 수하식양식을 중심으로, "한국농촌경제연구원", 한국농촌경제연구원, 125~, pp.연구보고 176 (1988)
- Anderson LG, "Optimum economic yield on an internationally utilized common property resource", Fish B-Noaa, 73, pp.51~56 (1975)
- Brown CJ, "Effects of climate driven primary production change on marine food webs:Implications for fisheries and conservation", Glob Change Biol, 16, pp.1194~1212 (2010)
- Chapman D, "Environmental Economics", pp.415~ (2000), Addison-Wesley Longman
- Clark CW, "Bioeconomic modeling and fisheries management", pp.35~ (1985), Wiley-Interscience Publication
- Conrad J, "Resource Economics", pp.213~ (2010), Cambridge University Press
- Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. In:Pachauri RK, Reisinger A (Eds) Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "IPCC", IPCC, ~ (2007)
- Climate Chage 2013: The Physical Science Basis. In: Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "IPCC", IPCC, ~ (2013)
- Silberberg E, "The structure of economics: a mathematical analysis", pp.669~ (1990), McGraw-Hill
- Walters C, "Structuring dynamics models of exploited ecosystems from trophic massbalance assessments", Rev Fish Biol Fish, 7, pp.139~172 (1997)