도시침수 고위험지역 선정을 위한 AHP-PROMETHEE 연계
Selection of Flood Risk Hotspots in Urban Areas : Based on the AHP-PROMETHEE Method
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초록
도시의 사전 재해저감대책 의사결정을 위해 위험도평가 기술의 중요성이 강조되는 상황에서, 본 논문은도시침수에 초점을 두고 지자체의 재해 예방형 도시계획 수립 차원에서 고위험지역 위치를 결정하는 방법론을 검토하였다. 도시침수에 대한 고위험지역을결정하는 데에 다양한 위험정보를 토대로 쌍대비교법인 AHP와 우선순위 산정방법인 PROMETHEE를서로 연계하여 각 격자대안의 비교우위를 검토하였다. 분석 결과, 경기도 광주시의 경우 전반적으로 목현동에 위치한 목현천 만곡부 연접지역과 송정동에위치한 경안천 합류부 연접지역의 두 지역이 고위험지역으로 구분됨을 알 수 있었다. 목현천 만곡부의경우 지형특성상 하천 범람 시 높은 침수심이 예상되어 고위험지역으로 분류되었는데, 향후 개발규제가우선되어야 할 지역으로 판단되었다. 송정동의 경우에는 인구가 매우 밀집된 주거지역으로서 방재지구지정과 함께 다양한 도시계획적 대책이 집중되어야할 지역으로 판단되었다. 본 논문에서 제안한 방법론은 도시침수에 대한 예방대책을 위한 도구, 특히 고위험지역을 선정하는 객관적인 방법을 제공할 가능성이 확인되었다.
Abstract
Risk assessment methods are becoming important in making decisions on disaster prevention measures in urban areas. With a focus on urban flood, this study examines how risk hotspots are determined at the viewpoint of urban planning in municipalities. To this end, this study proposes the hybrid method of AHP and PROMETHEE. AHP, a pair comparison, is used in effectively designing a complex decision-making problem and selecting and weighting evaluation criteria, whereas PROMETHEE, a priority approach, is used in finding grid alternatives at higher risk. after analyzing the Gwangju case, the proposed method indicates that flood risk hotspots lies in two areas. The first is located in some grids near a bend of the Mokhyun river. Because this area can be inundated with the high depth, its development needs to be regulated strictly. The second is located in a joint of the Mokhyun river and the Gyungan river. Because this area is currently used with a residential purpose and highly populated, it needs various disaster prevention measures with designation of a special district. This study concludes that the proposed method has a sufficient possibility as a tool for planning flood disaster prevention, in particular selecting flood risk hotspots objectively.
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