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The 2017 Kurdish Independence Referendum and Political Disarray in the Kurdish Region of Iraq

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The Kurdish Regional Government in Iraq is a constitutionally recognized autonomous governing entity, and until recently, a relative success story in post-2003 Iraq. In recent years, the Kurdish Region of Iraq has plunged into intra-Kurdish disunity and political stalemate, and researchers have not adequately demonstrated causality of the current disarray. This paper is a case study and utilizes the concept of critical junctures to illustrate the role of the 2017 Kurdish independence referendum in the current political turmoil in the Kurdish Region of Iraq. It argues that the choice to carry out the referendum and reactions of political leaders to the results of and events following the referendum locked-in the dysfunctional status quo that beleaguers the Kurdish Region of Iraq today. In doing so, it offers causation through a comprehensive and structured manner of analyzing the phenomena while contributing to the literature by reinforcing the utility of the Soifer’s critical juncture framework.

Abstract

The Kurdish Regional Government in Iraq is a constitutionally recognized autonomous governing entity, and until recently, a relative success story in post-2003 Iraq. In recent years, the Kurdish Region of Iraq has plunged into intra-Kurdish disunity and political stalemate, and researchers have not adequately demonstrated causality of the current disarray. This paper is a case study and utilizes the concept of critical junctures to illustrate the role of the 2017 Kurdish independence referendum in the current political turmoil in the Kurdish Region of Iraq. It argues that the choice to carry out the referendum and reactions of political leaders to the results of and events following the referendum locked-in the dysfunctional status quo that beleaguers the Kurdish Region of Iraq today. In doing so, it offers causation through a comprehensive and structured manner of analyzing the phenomena while contributing to the literature by reinforcing the utility of the Soifer’s critical juncture framework.

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