본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

R&D 투자의 경기순환적 특성에 관한 연구

Empirical Research on Cyclical Patterns of R&D Investment

1

조회

0

다운로드

4

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류기술정책

초록

The researches on cyclical patterns of R&D investment has a long history in developed economies since the Schumpeterian hypothesis that long-term productivity- enhancing innovative activities increase during recession. But in Korea the cyclical patterns of R&D investment is one of the unexplored academic areas. Unlike theoretical explanation of R&D’s cyclical pattern, empirical results has shown that R&D investment is procyclical to business cycles in developed countries. This paper investigates whether Korean R&D investment show procyclical or countercyclical pattern to business cycles. The empirical results show that Korean R&D investment in private area is procyclical to business cycles with statistical significance, which confirms the credit-constraint theory’s prediction, while public area’s is not sensitive to them. Public R&D investment has long-term investment characteristics and can be utilized to stabilize procyclically -fluctuating private R&D investme.

Abstract

The researches on cyclical patterns of R&D investment has a long history in developed economies since the Schumpeterian hypothesis that long-term productivity- enhancing innovative activities increase during recession. But in Korea the cyclical patterns of R&D investment is one of the unexplored academic areas. Unlike theoretical explanation of R&D’s cyclical pattern, empirical results has shown that R&D investment is procyclical to business cycles in developed countries. This paper investigates whether Korean R&D investment show procyclical or countercyclical pattern to business cycles. The empirical results show that Korean R&D investment in private area is procyclical to business cycles with statistical significance, which confirms the credit-constraint theory’s prediction, while public area’s is not sensitive to them. Public R&D investment has long-term investment characteristics and can be utilized to stabilize procyclically -fluctuating private R&D investme.

참고문헌 (19)

  1. 구재운, "한국경제의 분석 : 금융제약과 기업의 R&D 투자", 한국경제의 분석, 10(2), pp.105~161 (2004)
  2. 문호성, "이자율 불확실성과 투자", 산업경제연구, 16(6), pp.23~ (2003), 한국산업경제학회
  3. 신선우, "인플레이션 불확실성과 투자", 국제경제연구, 9(1), pp.207~224 (2003)
  4. Aghion, P., "Volatility and Growth: Credit Constraints and Productivity-Enhancing Investment", NBER Working Paper, W11349 (2005)
  5. Angeletos,G., "Uninsured Idiosyncratic Investment Risk and Aggregate Saving", NBER Working Paper, 11180 (2005)
  6. Barlevy,G., "On the timing of innovation in stochastic Schumpeterian growth models", NBER working paper, 10741 (2004)
  7. Barlevy,G., "Why don’t recessions encourage more R&D spending?", Chicago Fed Letter, #220 (2005)
  8. Fatas,A., "Do business cycles cast long shadows? Short-run persistence and economic growth", Journal of Economic Growth, 5, pp.147~162 (2000)
  9. Francios, P., "Animal spirits through creative destruction", American Economic Review, 93(3), pp.530~550 (2003)
  10. Geroski, P.A., "Innovative Activity over the business cycle", Economic Journal, 105, pp.916~928 (1995)
  11. Griliches,Z., "Patent statistics as economic indicators: A survey", Journal of Economic Literature, 28(4), pp.1661~1707 (1990)
  12. Hall, B. H., "“Does Cash Flow Cause Investment and R&D: An Exploration Using Panel Data for French, Japanese and United States Scientific Firms”, IFS Paper No. W98", 11, pp.1998, 1~
  13. Hall, B. H., "How Effective are Fiscal Incentives for R&D A Review of the Evidence", Research Policy, 29 (2000)
  14. Technology (and policy) shocks in models of endogenous growth, "Jones, L.", Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, ~, pp.Staff Report 281 (2000)
  15. Mulkay, B., "Firm Level Investment and R&D in France and the United States: A Comparison", NBER Working paper, 8038 (2000)
  16. Newey, W.K., "A simple, positive semi-difinite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix", Econometrica, 55, pp.703~708 (1987)
  17. OECD, "OECD (2005), “Innovation Policies: Innovation in the Business Sector”, OECD Economic Policy Committee, Working Party No. 1 on Macroeconomic and structural Policy Analysis", ~ (2005)
  18. Saint-Paul,G., "Productivity growth and the structure of the business cycle", European Economic Review, 37, pp.861~883 (1993)
  19. Walde, K., "R&D expenditure in G7 countries and the implications for endogenous fluctuations and growth", Economics Letters, 82, pp.91~97 (2004)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (8건)