본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

Optimization of Dynamic Guaranteed Minimum Return, Investment And Reinsurance Strategy By Balancing the Risks And Benefit of Both Insurers And Consumers

0

조회

0

다운로드

0

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경영학

초록

In this article, we model and discuss determination of optimal minimum guaranteed rate of return, as well as optimal investment and reinsurance strategies of universal life insurance by minimizing both the investment risk and the risk of obtaining guaranteed return, with the constraint of surplus larger than a prescribed constant. We also discuss the application of dynamic programming in finding dynamic solutions to these optimization problems. We analyse the affect of the change of the risk-free interest rate, the age of insured, the cost of reinsurance, and mortality on optimal solutions. Our results indicate that changes in the insured age, in the risk-free interest rate (when risk-free interest rate takes high value), and of mortality will not materially affect the optimal value of minimum guaranteed return rate, investment and reinsurance strategies except for the situation when mortality decreases. However, changing these parameters will affect the sum of the volatilities of investment and minimum guaranteed return rate and the surplus of the insurer. The results also indicate that the optimal and sub-optimal minimum guarantee return rates are very low when risk-free interest rate is very low ().

Abstract

In this article, we model and discuss determination of optimal minimum guaranteed rate of return, as well as optimal investment and reinsurance strategies of universal life insurance by minimizing both the investment risk and the risk of obtaining guaranteed return, with the constraint of surplus larger than a prescribed constant. We also discuss the application of dynamic programming in finding dynamic solutions to these optimization problems. We analyse the affect of the change of the risk-free interest rate, the age of insured, the cost of reinsurance, and mortality on optimal solutions. Our results indicate that changes in the insured age, in the risk-free interest rate (when risk-free interest rate takes high value), and of mortality will not materially affect the optimal value of minimum guaranteed return rate, investment and reinsurance strategies except for the situation when mortality decreases. However, changing these parameters will affect the sum of the volatilities of investment and minimum guaranteed return rate and the surplus of the insurer. The results also indicate that the optimal and sub-optimal minimum guarantee return rates are very low when risk-free interest rate is very low ().

참고문헌 (19)

  1. Bacinello, A. R., "Fair Pricing of Life Insurance Participating Policies with a minimum Interest Rate Guaranteed", Astin Bulletin, 31, pp.275~297 (2001)
  2. Bacinello, A.R., "Pricing Equity-Linked Life Insurance with Endogenous Minimum Guarantee", Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 12, pp.245~258 (1993)
  3. Boyle,P.P., "Reserving for Maturity Guarantee: Two Approaches", Insurance: Mathematics and Economics (1997)
  4. Briys, E., "On the Risk of Insurance Liabilities: Debunking Some Common Pitfalls", The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 64, pp.673~694 (1997)
  5. "Low Interest Rates and the Implications on Life Insurers" (2012)[URL]
  6. "Capital Markets Special Report by NAIC"[URL]
  7. Galambos, J. D., "Efficient Treatment of Uncertainty in Numerical optimization", Risk Analysis, 17, pp.93~96 (1997)
  8. Gourieroux, C., "Financial Econometrics" (2001), Princeton University Press
  9. Grosen, A., "Valuation of Early Exercisable Interest Rate Guarantees", The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 64, pp.481~503 (1997)
  10. Grosen, A., "Fair Valuation of Life Insurance Liabilities: The Impact of Interest Guarantees, Surrender Options, and Bonus Policies", Insurance:Mathematics and Economics, 26, pp.37~57 (2000)
  11. "The Risk Management of Minimum Return Guarantees, working paper" (2003)[URL]
  12. Determination of Optimal Contribution Rate and Optimal Investment Portfolio of Defined Benefit Pension Plan under the Expected Shortfall Constraint, "Mao, H", ~ (2012)
  13. Milevsky, M. A., "Financial Valuation of Guaranteed Minimum Withdraw Benefit", Insurance: Mathematics and Economics (2005)
  14. Moeller, H., "Risk-minimizing Hedging Strategies for Insurance Payment Processes", Finance and Stochastic, 5, pp.419~446 (2001)
  15. Nielsen, J. A., "Equity-Linked Life Insurance: A Model with Stochastic Interest Rates", Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 16, pp.225~253 (1995)
  16. Persson, S-A, "Valuation of the Minimum Guaranteed Return Embedded Life Insurance Products", The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 64, pp.599~617 (1997)
  17. Scordis, N. A., "Valuation from Hedging Risk with Reinsurance", Journal of Insurance Issues, 35, pp.210~231 (2012)
  18. Vasicek, O. A., "An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure", Journal of Financial Economics, 5, pp.177~188 (1977)
  19. Yao,H, Y Lai, "Continuous-time mean? variance asset? liability management with endogenous liabilities", Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 52, pp.6~17 (2013)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (4건)