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Effects of Easing LTV·DTI Regulations on the Debt Structure and Credit Risk of Borrowers

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주제분류경제학

초록

With CB data in South Korea, this study examines whether the credit risk of borrowers changes when the regulation on bank mortgage supply is relaxed. We analyze the effect of deregulation on LTV and DTI limits in the Seoul-metropolitan area in August 2014 with a differencein-difference approach. We find that the probability of delinquency is lower in the Seoul metropolitan area after the deregulation than in other urban areas. The effect is noticeable among low-income and low-credit borrowers. We also find that borrowers change their debt structure to reduce the interest costs utilizing their improved access to bank mortgages. The findings suggest the necessity to consider the burden of the high interest costs of unsecured loans for debtors with low incomes and low credit ratings in designing housing finance regulations.

Abstract

With CB data in South Korea, this study examines whether the credit risk of borrowers changes when the regulation on bank mortgage supply is relaxed. We analyze the effect of deregulation on LTV and DTI limits in the Seoul-metropolitan area in August 2014 with a differencein-difference approach. We find that the probability of delinquency is lower in the Seoul metropolitan area after the deregulation than in other urban areas. The effect is noticeable among low-income and low-credit borrowers. We also find that borrowers change their debt structure to reduce the interest costs utilizing their improved access to bank mortgages. The findings suggest the necessity to consider the burden of the high interest costs of unsecured loans for debtors with low incomes and low credit ratings in designing housing finance regulations.

참고문헌 (11)

  1. 방두완, "한국 모기지시장의 채무불이행 및 조기상환 분석", 금융연구, 24(4), pp.87~118 (2010), 한국금융학회
  2. 최막중, "주택금융 제약이 주택소비규모와 점유형태 선택에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증분석", 주택연구, 10(1), pp.33~48 (2002), 한국주택학회
  3. 허석균, "DTI, LTV 및 대출상환 조건이 주택담보대출의 연체율에 미치는 영향", 규제연구, 21(2), pp.39~77 (2012), 한국규제학회
  4. Deniz Igan, "Do Loan-to-Value and Debt-to-Income Limits Work? Evidence from Korea", SSRN Electronic Journal (2011), Elsevier BV[DOI]
  5. 지규현, "담보인정비율(LTV)과 차입자 속성이 주택담보대출의채무불이행에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구", 한국지역개발학회지, 19(3), pp.213~228 (2007), 한국지역개발학회
  6. Default Factors for Household Loans and Financial Fragility: The Importance of Self-Employed Borrowers in Korea, "Jeong, Hosung", Bank of Korea, 1~38, pp.Bank of Korea WP, 2018(5) (2018)
  7. KCB, "Sample DB of Mortgage Loans Borrowers", ~ (2019)
  8. 김문년, "주택담보대출에서 연체 및 채무불이행의 발생시기별 위험률: DTI와 LTV 비율의 교차효과를 중심으로", 국토연구, 87, pp.17~32 (2015), 국토연구원[DOI]
  9. 이동걸, "우리나라 가계부채의 연체결정요인 및 취약성 연구", 금융연구, 28(2), pp.137~178 (2014), 한국금융학회
  10. Atif Mian, "The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the U.S. Mortgage Default Crisis", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124(4), pp.1449~1496 (2009), Oxford University Press (OUP)[DOI]
  11. Park Jongsang, "Home-Backed Loans in Korea: Design of Policies and Mortgage Products" (2014), Korea Institute of Finance

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