Information Effects in Policy Preferences of the U. S. Electorate
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This study explores fully informed collective policy preferences from the 2004NES survey data, as compared to the preferences of the electorate in 1992. While many scholars have suggested the minimal effect of political information, by virtue of information shortcuts and the process of statistical aggregation, others have exhibited significant effects of political information. Based on Althaus(1998)’s full-information simulation approach, this study seeks to answer the question of how different collective opinions can be if everyone is fully informed. The results demonstrate that the effects of information in collective opinion were substantial in most of the policy issues and the overall effect leaned to more liberal direction even in 2004 when there was a clear voting cue and the national context was fairly conservative. This result implies that information disparity has crucial bearing on policy decision-making and our democracy.
Abstract
This study explores fully informed collective policy preferences from the 2004NES survey data, as compared to the preferences of the electorate in 1992. While many scholars have suggested the minimal effect of political information, by virtue of information shortcuts and the process of statistical aggregation, others have exhibited significant effects of political information. Based on Althaus(1998)’s full-information simulation approach, this study seeks to answer the question of how different collective opinions can be if everyone is fully informed. The results demonstrate that the effects of information in collective opinion were substantial in most of the policy issues and the overall effect leaned to more liberal direction even in 2004 when there was a clear voting cue and the national context was fairly conservative. This result implies that information disparity has crucial bearing on policy decision-making and our democracy.
참고문헌 (25)
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