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신재생에너지 보급 시나리오를 통한 건물부문 온실가스 감축 잠재량 분석

Potential Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Buildings by Renewable Energy

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초록

This study aims to propose a renewable energy scenario for the building sector to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and to estimate the potential reduction of emissions in the building sector by 2050, based on this scenario. The types of buildings used for analysis are detached houses, apartments, commercial buildings, and educational buildings. The activity data for the building sector’s projection model are building use type, gross floor area of building use, building energy intensity, and GHG emission factor. The prediction of GHG emissions from this scenario is that they will increase steadily from 2020, peak in 2039, and start declining from 2050. The result shows that the potential reduction in emissions will be about 43.1 million tons of CO2e against business as usual, in 2050.

Abstract

This study aims to propose a renewable energy scenario for the building sector to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and to estimate the potential reduction of emissions in the building sector by 2050, based on this scenario. The types of buildings used for analysis are detached houses, apartments, commercial buildings, and educational buildings. The activity data for the building sector’s projection model are building use type, gross floor area of building use, building energy intensity, and GHG emission factor. The prediction of GHG emissions from this scenario is that they will increase steadily from 2020, peak in 2039, and start declining from 2050. The result shows that the potential reduction in emissions will be about 43.1 million tons of CO2e against business as usual, in 2050.

참고문헌 (16)

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  2. Yoon, J. H., "The Role and Practical Contribution of Renewable Energy Technologies in Actual Zero Energy Building", The Magazine of Korean Solar Energy Society, 14(1), pp.24~32 (2016)
  3. 정영선, "국가 에너지통계에 따른 건물부문 온실가스 배출량 추계 및 특성", 대한건축학회논문집 구조계, 35(7), pp.187~195 (2019), 대한건축학회
  4. MOLIT News-Green Buildings Activity Plan for 2050 Carbon Neutrality, "Minis try of Land Infrastructure and Transportation", ~ (2021)
  5. 2020 Yearbook of Energy Statistics, "Korea Energy Economic Institute", ~ (2020)
  6. 지창윤, "국가 건물에너지 통합DB 기반 건물부문 온실가스 배출현황", 대한건축학회논문집 구조계, 36(4), pp.143~152 (2020), 대한건축학회
  7. Ha, S., "A Study on the Establishment of Baseline and Reduction Estimation Model for Developing National Greenhouse Gas Reduction Scenario", Ph.D., pp.2020
  8. Yun, S., "GHG Mitigation Scenario Analysis in Building Sector using Energy System Model", The Korean Society of Climate Change Research, 5(2), pp.153~163 (2014)
  9. 전의찬, "LEAP 모형을 이용한 건축물의 온실가스 감축 시나리오 분석 - 서울세관건물 그린리모델링 시범사업을 중심으로 -", 한국기후변화학회지, 7(3), pp.341~349 (2016), 한국기후변화학회[DOI]
  10. Jeo ng, Y., "Assessment of Alternative Secenarios for CO2 Reduction Potential in the Residential Building Sector", Sustainability, 9(394), pp.1~16 (2017)
  11. "2020 Energy Statistics Handbook" (2020)[URL]
  12. 김진영, "기초지방자치단체별 보급 가능한 재생에너지 시장잠재량을 이용한 에너지 자립률 평가", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 39(6), pp.137~151 (2019), 한국태양에너지학회[DOI]
  13. "Electronic Architectural Administration Information System"[URL]
  14. 2050 Carbon Neutral Strategy of the Republic of Korea Towards a Sustainable and Green Society, "Korean Government", The government of Republic of Korea, ~ (2020)
  15. The Seoul Institute, "Yu, J. M.", The Seoul Institute, 63~65 (2020)

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