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Industrial Difference in Employment Effect of Economic Growth

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주제분류경제학

초록

It is often argued that job creation effect of economic growth is not so large as in the past. Apparently, since the employment does not increase enough while the economy grows, the phenomenon has been called as “Jobless growth”. It looks that most empirical papers confirms it based on the empirical estimates of the so called employment elasticity. This paper aims to refine the topics by looking at how employment effect of economic growth is different depending on the industry. First, this paper shows empirically that employment elasticity is not the same, but different for different industry. And it has changed over time: while the value has decreased for some industries like manufacturing and construction, it has increased for others like finance, insurance and education. Second, it is shown that each industry has its own reason for its employment elasticity to have changed differently over time. We try to identify which determinant(s) is (are) responsible for changes in empirically estimated values of employment elasticity in each industry.

Abstract

It is often argued that job creation effect of economic growth is not so large as in the past. Apparently, since the employment does not increase enough while the economy grows, the phenomenon has been called as “Jobless growth”. It looks that most empirical papers confirms it based on the empirical estimates of the so called employment elasticity. This paper aims to refine the topics by looking at how employment effect of economic growth is different depending on the industry. First, this paper shows empirically that employment elasticity is not the same, but different for different industry. And it has changed over time: while the value has decreased for some industries like manufacturing and construction, it has increased for others like finance, insurance and education. Second, it is shown that each industry has its own reason for its employment elasticity to have changed differently over time. We try to identify which determinant(s) is (are) responsible for changes in empirically estimated values of employment elasticity in each industry.

참고문헌 (10)

  1. Choi, C.K., "The Theory and evidence of Intertemporal Substitution in Labor Supply Function", Journal of Korean Labor Economic Associations, 18(1) (1995)
  2. 최창곤, "노동시장의 균형모형에 대한 연구 : 식별과 추정", 계량경제학보, 17(4), pp.25~44 (2006), 한국계량경제학회
  3. 최창곤, "노동시장구조와 고용탄력성: 경제성장과 고용", 응용경제, 12(3), pp.83~105 (2010), 한국응용경제학회
  4. The employment intensity of growth: Trends and macroeconomic determinants, "Kapos, Stepen", ILO, ~ (2005)
  5. The ‘employment intensity’ of growth in Europe, "Döpke, J.", Kiel, ~, pp.Kiel Working Paper No. 1021 (2001)
  6. Estimating employment elasticity for the Indonesian economy, "Islam, I.", ILO, ~ (2000)
  7. Mazumdar, D., "Trends in employment and the employment elasticity in Manufacturing, 1971-92: an international comparison", aCambridge Journal of Economics, 27, pp.563~582 (2003)
  8. Padalino, S., "The employment intensity of economic growth in the G-7 countries", International Labour Review, 136(2) (1997)
  9. Piacentini, P., "Growth and Employment, in The Employment Impact of Innovation: Evidence and Policy", pp.44~76 (2000), Routledge
  10. Examining the Relationship Between Employment and Economic Growth in the Ten Largest States, "William Seyfried", Southern Economic Journal, ~ (2006)

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