코로나19가 농협공판장 거래에 미친 영향 분석

Abstract

This study analyzed the effects of Corona 19 on the volume of domestic agricultural products traded by the agricultural cooperatives' wholesale marketing centers (WMC). The effects of Corona 19 were analyzed by dividing it into agricultural cooperatives’ WMC located in the wholesale market, WMC operated by agricultural cooperatives, and the entire agricultural cooperatives' WMC, respectively. For this, the data (from January 2017 to May 2020) of domestic agricultural trade transactions of 77 agricultural cooperatives’ WMC were used. They were analyzed using a panel data model assuming a fixed effect model. As a result of estimating the panel fixed effect model, it was found that the amount of domestic agricultural products traded in the agricultural cooperatives’ WMC in the wholesale market, WMC operated by the agricultural cooperatives, and the entire agricultural cooperatives’ WMC decreased due to the occurrence of Corona 19. It was estimated that the trade volume of the WMC in the wholesale market decreased by 15.8% compared to before Corona 19, and the WMC operated by the agricultural cooperatives decreased by 22.8%, and 16.9% overall. Contrary to expectations that an increase in the number of meals at home would increase the demand for domestic agricultural products, there was a decrease in demand for agricultural products in restaurants, food materials companies, and offline large-scale retail outlets. The decrease in agricultural trade volume at the wholesale stage can be interpreted as meaning that farmers can also have difficulties in the sale of their products.