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국지가중회귀(Locally Weighted Regression) 모형을 활용한 아파트 실거래가격지수 산정방법에 관한 연구

A Study on the Construction of the Transaction-Based Real Estate Price Index Using Locally Weighted Regression (LWR) Model

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참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

A real estate price index tracks the price of a standard unit of housing over time. The index typically is constructed from observations on the sale price and their characteristics. Due to the requirement of the stability of the index, I assumed four different types of houses. With centering on them, I estimated locally weighted regressions (LWR) of hedonic price models and constructed the transaction-based price indices from January 2006 to October 2010 for Gangnam Gu, Seoul. The appraisal-based KB indices have appraisal smoothing problems in which they have low volatility and time-lag but the proposed transaction-based price indices do not show those problems.

Abstract

A real estate price index tracks the price of a standard unit of housing over time. The index typically is constructed from observations on the sale price and their characteristics. Due to the requirement of the stability of the index, I assumed four different types of houses. With centering on them, I estimated locally weighted regressions (LWR) of hedonic price models and constructed the transaction-based price indices from January 2006 to October 2010 for Gangnam Gu, Seoul. The appraisal-based KB indices have appraisal smoothing problems in which they have low volatility and time-lag but the proposed transaction-based price indices do not show those problems.

참고문헌 (16)

  1. "국토해양부 실거래가 조회 사이트"[URL]
  2. 박헌수, "준모수방법에 의한 주택가격지수 추정에 관한 연구", 부동산학연구, 7(1), pp.1~16 (2001), 한국부동산분석학회
  3. 박헌수, "특성가격모형을 활용한 아파트 실거래가격지수 산정방법에 관한 연구", 부동산학연구, 15(3), pp.111~125 (2009), 한국부동산분석학회
  4. "부동산114"[URL]
  5. 이용만, "특성가격함수를 이용한 주택가격지수 개발에 관한 연구-시간변동계수모형에 의한 연쇄지수", 부동산학연구, 13(1), pp.103~125 (2007), 한국부동산분석학회
  6. 이용만, "국민은행 주택가격지수의 평활화 현상에 관한 연구", 주택연구, 16(4), pp.27~47 (2008), 한국주택학회
  7. 이창무, "반복매매모형을 활용한 아파트 매매가격지수", 부동산학연구, 8(2), pp.1~19 (2002), 한국부동산분석학회
  8. 이창무, "공동주택 실거래가지수 산정에 관한 연구", 국토계획, 40(4), pp.121~134 (2005), 대한국토·도시계획학회
  9. 부동산실거래가격에 기초한 주택가격지수 개발, "한국감정원", ~ (2007)
  10. Bailey, M.J, "A Regression Method for Real Estate Price Index Construction", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58, pp.933~942 (1963)
  11. Case, K.E, "The Efficiency of the Market for Single Family Homes", American Economic Review, pp.125~137 (1989)
  12. Case, B, "On Choosing Among House Price Index Methodologies", Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, 19, pp.286~307 (1991)
  13. Clapp, J.M, "Estimating Price Indexes for Residential Property : A Comparison of Repeat Sales and Assessed Value Methods", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, pp.300~306 (1992)
  14. Cleveland, W.S, "Locally Weighted Regression : An Approach to Regression Analysis by Local Fitting", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83, pp.596~610 (1988)
  15. Meese, R, "Nonparametric Estimation of Dynamic Hedonic Price Models and the Construction of Residential Housing Indices Price", AREUEA Journal, 19, pp.308~332 (1991)
  16. Rosen. S, "Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition", Journal of Political Economy, 82, pp.34~55 (1974)

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