Inferring Individual Level Relationships from Aggregate Data
1
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
초록
Abstract
This paper introduces a technique for inferring individual level relationships from aggregate data. Social scientists encounter with the ecological fallacy problem where individual level data are not available, yet the individual level relationship is sought. In particular, it is the case that social scientists attempt to examine a subject for which no survey data are available or reliable. A series of cross-level inference techniques have been introduced since the Goodman’s seminal work (1959). We introduce a new technique of significantly improving the cross-level inference, the Gary King’s solution. For the purpose of verification, we examined regional voting in the 16th National Assembly elections of South Korea. The estimates of regional voting are compared with those of survey results. We found that the estimates from the King’s solution are closely matching with those from survey results if cell frequency in survey results is large enough. The King’s solution produces more reliable estimates in a case that cell frequency in survey results is small.
참고문헌 (16)
- "Cross-Level Inference." (1995), University of Chicago press.
- "A Preview of EI and EzI Program for Ecological Inference", 14, pp.433~438 (1996)
- "A New Approach to the Study of Ticket Splitting", 92, pp.533~544 (1998)
- "Some Alternatives to Ecological Correlation American Journal of Sociology 64", pp.610~625 (1959)
- "The Dynamics of Electoral Politics and Manipulation of Electoral Laws in Political Participation in Korea and Stability edited by Chong Lim Kim", pp.59~84 (1980)
- "Binomial-Beta Hierarchical Models for Ecological Inference", 28, pp.61~90 (1999)
- "A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data" (1997), Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
- "A Survey on Voters Attitudes toward the 16th General Election" (2000), Seoul:Korean Social Science Data Center Korean Social Science Data Center
- "Politics and regions in Korea an analysis of the recent presidential election", 15, pp.99~119 (1996)
- "Regionalism and Voting Behavior in South Korea", 29, pp.611~633 (1998)
- "National Election Commission" (2000)
- "Aggregate Data Analysis of U and the Socialist Party of America dissertation at the University of California" (1993)
- "Ecological Correlations and the Behavior of Individuals", pp.351~357 (1950)
- "Bayesian and Frequentist Inference for Ecological Inference"
- "Money Matters in Party-Centered Politics: Campaign Spending in Korean Congressional Elections", 24, pp.85~101 (2005)
- "Familiarity Doesn’t Breed Contempt: The Political Geography of Racial Polarization" (2000), Ph. D. dissertation at Harvard University