기계학습 방법을 활용한 Cephalosporins의 피부 이상반응 분석: KAERS DB를 활용한 약물감시 데이터 기반 연구
Analysis of Cutaneous Adverse Reactions to Cephalosporins Using Machine Learning Techniques: A Pharmacovigilance Study Based on KAERS DB Data
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Background : Cross-reactivity and hypersensitivity to β-lactam antibiotics significantly limit their use. This study aimed to analyze cutaneous adverse reaction patterns associated with cefoxitin and cephalothin, which share R1 side chain chemical structures, using machine learning techniques applied to the Korea Adverse Event Reporting System Database (KAERS DB). The goal was to establish evidence for safer antibiotic use. Methods : We utilized KAERS DB data from January 2018 to December 2022. The dataset was divided into dermatological adverse events and others, with 2018-2019 data serving as the training set and 2020-2022 data as the test set. Eight machine learning models were developed to predict cutaneous adverse reaction risks. Model performance was evaluated using accuracy and Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) on both training and test sets. Statistical analyses were performed using Python 3.7.6. Results : In the training dataset, most models achieved high accuracy (0.986), with Bagging Classifier and Extra Trees Classifier demonstrating excellent performance (AUC 0.974). The test dataset also showed high accuracy (0.998) across models, but AUC scores varied. AdaBoost Classifier (AUC 0.812), Random Forest Classifier (AUC 0.786), and MLP Classifier (AUC 0.736) performed particularly well. Conclusion : This study employed machine learning techniques to classify cutaneous adverse reactions associated with second-generation (cefoxitin) and first-generation (cephalothin) cephalosporins, which have relatively high adverse event risks, and to predict potential cutaneous reactions in new cases. The models incorporated cross-reactivity possibilities based on cephalosporin chemical structures and demonstrated high predictive accuracy. These findings are expected to contribute to the development of safer antibiotic use guidelines based on scientific evidence.
Abstract
Background : Cross-reactivity and hypersensitivity to β-lactam antibiotics significantly limit their use. This study aimed to analyze cutaneous adverse reaction patterns associated with cefoxitin and cephalothin, which share R1 side chain chemical structures, using machine learning techniques applied to the Korea Adverse Event Reporting System Database (KAERS DB). The goal was to establish evidence for safer antibiotic use. Methods : We utilized KAERS DB data from January 2018 to December 2022. The dataset was divided into dermatological adverse events and others, with 2018-2019 data serving as the training set and 2020-2022 data as the test set. Eight machine learning models were developed to predict cutaneous adverse reaction risks. Model performance was evaluated using accuracy and Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) on both training and test sets. Statistical analyses were performed using Python 3.7.6. Results : In the training dataset, most models achieved high accuracy (0.986), with Bagging Classifier and Extra Trees Classifier demonstrating excellent performance (AUC 0.974). The test dataset also showed high accuracy (0.998) across models, but AUC scores varied. AdaBoost Classifier (AUC 0.812), Random Forest Classifier (AUC 0.786), and MLP Classifier (AUC 0.736) performed particularly well. Conclusion : This study employed machine learning techniques to classify cutaneous adverse reactions associated with second-generation (cefoxitin) and first-generation (cephalothin) cephalosporins, which have relatively high adverse event risks, and to predict potential cutaneous reactions in new cases. The models incorporated cross-reactivity possibilities based on cephalosporin chemical structures and demonstrated high predictive accuracy. These findings are expected to contribute to the development of safer antibiotic use guidelines based on scientific evidence.
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