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Credit Risk and Underlying Asset Risk

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초록

This paper develops the credit risk of simple risky bond (Merton 1974) as expected option return to the maturity and analytically presents that the credit risk is influenced by the underlying asset risks. The paper moreover shows that the direction and magnitude of the influence depends on what the underlying asset risks are. Simulation results indicate that the relations between the credit risk and the asset risks are different among asset risks.

Abstract

This paper develops the credit risk of simple risky bond (Merton 1974) as expected option return to the maturity and analytically presents that the credit risk is influenced by the underlying asset risks. The paper moreover shows that the direction and magnitude of the influence depends on what the underlying asset risks are. Simulation results indicate that the relations between the credit risk and the asset risks are different among asset risks.

참고문헌 (13)

  1. Bharath, S. T., "Forecasting default with the Merton distance to default model", Review of Financial Studies, 21(3), pp.1339~1369 (2008)
  2. Black, F., "The pricing of options and corporate liabilities", Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), pp.637~654 (1973)
  3. Broadie, M., "Understanding index option returns", Review of Financial Studies, 22(11), pp.4493~4529 (2009)
  4. Chaudhury, M., "Volatility and expected option returns: A note", Economics Letters, 152, pp.1~4 (2017)
  5. Coval, J. D., "Expected option returns", Journal of Finance, 56(3), pp.983~1009 (2001)
  6. Galai, D., "The option pricing model and the risk factor of stock", Journal of Financial Economics, 3(1-2), pp.53~81 (1976)
  7. Goyal, A., "Cross-section of option returns and volatility", Journal of Financial Economics, 94(2), pp.310~326 (2009)
  8. Hu, G., "Volatility and expected option returns", SSRN, ~ (2017)
  9. Merton, R. C., "Theory of rational option pricing", Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, 4(1), pp.141~183 (1973)
  10. Merton, R. C., "On the pricing of corporate debt: The risk structure of interest rates", Journal of Finance, 29(2), pp.449~470 (1974)
  11. Merton, R. C., "On estimating the expected return on the market: An exploratory investigation", Journal of Financial Economics, 8(4), pp.323~361 (1980)
  12. Owen, D., "A table of normal integrals", Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation, 9(4), pp.389~419 (1980)
  13. Rubinstein, M., "A simple formula for the expected rate of return of an option over a finite holding period", Journal of Finance, 39(5), pp.1503~1509 (1984)

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