An e-SAM Approach to the Analysis of Energy Consumption and CO2 Emissions in Korean Industry
1
조회
0
다운로드
2
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This research aims to find out the existence of considerable induced effect that the conventional I-O model cannot. First, we construct an environmental Social Accounting Matrix for Korea by combining statistics on the Korean GDP and I-O with physical data on the fossil energy consumption and CO2 emissions. The impacts of productive activities on fossil energy consumption and CO2 emissions are evaluated by calculating the e-SAM multipliers. By applying decomposition technique further, we get direct, indirect, and induced effects of production activities by industry. The result of decomposing the e-SAM shows that while the direct effect of the electricity industry is large, its indirect effect is very small. In the case of the primary metal industry, both the direct and the indirect influence of this industry were very large. On the contrary, in case of the service industry, the induced effect of fossil energy consumption was as high as 50% of the gross effect. These results suggest that different energy policies should be established for different industries. Also, the findings show the e-SAM model is better than I-O model in analyzing implications of policies on energy use in the economy.
Abstract
This research aims to find out the existence of considerable induced effect that the conventional I-O model cannot. First, we construct an environmental Social Accounting Matrix for Korea by combining statistics on the Korean GDP and I-O with physical data on the fossil energy consumption and CO2 emissions. The impacts of productive activities on fossil energy consumption and CO2 emissions are evaluated by calculating the e-SAM multipliers. By applying decomposition technique further, we get direct, indirect, and induced effects of production activities by industry. The result of decomposing the e-SAM shows that while the direct effect of the electricity industry is large, its indirect effect is very small. In the case of the primary metal industry, both the direct and the indirect influence of this industry were very large. On the contrary, in case of the service industry, the induced effect of fossil energy consumption was as high as 50% of the gross effect. These results suggest that different energy policies should be established for different industries. Also, the findings show the e-SAM model is better than I-O model in analyzing implications of policies on energy use in the economy.
참고문헌 (20)
- Adelman, I., "Income Distribution Policy in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Korea" (1978), Stanford University Press
- Forsund, F. R., "Input-Output models, national economic models, and the environment" (1985)
- Hubacek, K., "Applying physical input-output analysis to estimate land appropriation (ecological footprints) of international trade activities", Ecological Economics, 44(1), pp.137~151 (2003)
- Khan, H. A., "Macroeconomic Effects of Technology Choice: Multiplier and Structural Path Analysis within a SAM Framework", Journal of Policy Modeling, 11(1), pp.131~156 (1989)
- Korea Energy Economics Institute, "Yearbook of Energy Statistics", ~ (2006)
- Leontief, W., "Environmental Repercussions and the Economic Structure: an Input-Output Approach", The Review of Economics and Statistics, 52(3), pp.262~271 (1970)
- Llop, M., "Economic impact of alternative water policy scenarios in the Spanish production system: An input-output analysis", Ecological Economics, 68, pp.288~294 (2008)
- Manresa, A., "Energy intensities and CO₂ emissions in Catalonia: a SAM analysis", International Journal of Environment, Workplace and Employment, 1(1), pp.91~106 (2004)
- Melo, J. D., "SAM-Based Models : An Introduction", Journal of Policy Modeling, 10(3), pp.321~325 (1988)
- Noh, Y., "Analysis of the Structure of Income Redistribution in the Korean Economy - Approach Using Social Accounts Matrix, the Bank of Korea", Analysis of Economy, 12(2), pp.67~106 (2006)
- 박창귀, "하이브리드 산업연관표를 이용한 우리나라CO2 배출 구조 분석", 환경정책연구, 8(1), pp.49~72 (2009), 한국환경정책·평가연구원
- Pang, F., "An aggregate social accounting matrix for the Australian economy: Data sources and methods", Paper prepared for the 2007 KNSO International Conference (2007)
- Pyatt, G., "A SAM Approach to Modeling", Journal of Policy Modeling, 10(3), pp.327~352 (1988)
- Rodriguez, C., "Economic and environmental efficiency using a social accounting matrix", Ecological Economics, 60, pp.774~786 (2007)
- Sanchez-Choliz, J., "CO₂ emissions embodied in international trade: evidence for Spain", Energy Policy, 32(18), pp.1999~2005 (2004)
- Stone, R., "Input-Output and National Accounts", OECD, ~ (1961)
- Stuvel, G., "Systems of Social Accounts" (1965), Oxford University Press
- The Bank of Korea, "Input-Output Tables", ~ (2009)
- UN, "The System of National Accounts", ~ (1993)
- Xie, J., "Environmental Policy Analysis: An Environmental Computable General-Equilibrium Approach for Developing Countries", Journal of Policy Modeling, 22(4), pp.453~489 (2000)
