투입산출분석을 이용한 보증지원 성과분석

Abstract

This paper makes an analysis of economic spillover effects of credit guarantee by linking the remainder of guarantee according to industries from 2003 to 2006 in this study. Specifically, total remainder of guarantee in 2006 is approximately 3922 billion and 600 million won on the basis of unchangeable price in 2003, and each funds becomes the input of the last demand in 27 industries over the country and, thereby, induces production, added value, and the effect of employment. The last demand according to industries shows that a lot of funds have been supported to the manufacturing industry for about 1200 billion won, the wholesale and retail for about 1299 billion and 500 million won, food and lodging industry for about 144 billion and 100 million won, education & health care industry for about 132 billion and 600 million won, and social and other service industry for about 339 billion and 300 million won. The spillover effect about the remainder of guarantee in 2006 classified by industries over the country on the basis of production shows the high effects on the manufacturing industry for 37.8%, 2625 billion and 90 million won, the wholesale and retail for 20.7%, 1439 billion and 290 million won, food and lodging industry for 9.4%, 654 billion and 570 million won, real estate and business service industry for 9.2%, 637 billion and 310 million won, social and other service industry for 5.3%, 369 billion and 90 million won, and education and health care industry for 2.9%, 199 billion and 300 million won of the effect causing production over the country, 6945 billion won in order. The effect causing added value shows high spillover effect on the wholesale and retail for 36.7%, 1186 billion and 830 million won, the manufacturing industry for 25.8%, 831 billion and 500 million won, food and lodging industry for 14.9%, 480 billion and 980 million won, social and other service industry for 9.3%. 300 billion and 160 million won, and real estate and business service industry for 4.2%, 135 billion and 36 million won of the effect causing added value over the country in order. Finally, the effect causing employment shows a lot of employment have occurred in the wholesale and retail for 37.4%, 23,060 people, the manufacturing industry for 18.9%, 11,637 people, food and lodging industry for 13.7%, 8,429 people, social and other service industry for 7.9%, 4,866 people, and real estate and business service industry for 5.6%, 3,429 people of 61,617 people in order.