딥러닝 모델을 이용한 교육사회통념 가설검증 예측 시스템의 제안
Proposal of a Hypothesis Test Prediction System for Educational Social Precepts using Deep Learning Models
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AI 기술은 법률, 특허, 금융, 국방의 의사결정지원 기술 형태로 발전하여 질병 진단과 법률 판정등에 적용되고 있다. Deep Learning으로 실시간 정보를 검색하려면, Big data Analysis과 Deep Learning Algorithm이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 Deep Learning 모델인 RNN(Recurrent Neural Network)을 이용하여상위권 대학 진학률을 예측하고자 한다. 우선, 행정구역 사설학원 현황과 행정구역 연령별 학생 수를분석하고 교육열이 높은 지역에 거주하는 학생이 상위권 대학 진학률이 높다는 사회 통념의 가설을설정했다. 예측된 가설과 정부의 공공데이터를 활용하여 분석된 자료를 토대로 검증하고자 한다. 예측모델은 2015년부터 2017년까지의 데이터를 활용하여 상위권 진학률을 예상하도록 학습하고, 학습된모델은 2018년 상위권 진학률을 예측한다. 교육특구지역의 상위권 진학률을 Deep Learning 모델인 RNN 을 이용하여 예측 실험을 수행했다. 본 논문은 교육열이 높은 지역의 사설학원 현황, 연령별 학생 수에미치는 영향에 대해서 가구소득, 사교육의 참여 비율을 분석하여 상위권 진학률의 상관관계를 정의한다.
Abstract
AI technology has developed in the form of decision support technology in law, patent, finance and national defense and is applied to disease diagnosis and legal judgment. To search real-time information with Deep Learning, Big data Analysis and Deep Learning Algorithm are required. In this paper, we try to predict the entrance rate to high-ranking universities using a Deep Learning model, RNN(Recurrent Neural Network). First, we analyzed the current status of private academies in administrative districts and the number of students by age in administrative districts, and established a socially accepted hypothesis that students residing in areas with a high educational fever have a high rate of enrollment in high-ranking universities. This is to verify based on the data analyzed using the predicted hypothesis and the government's public data. The predictive model uses data from 2015 to 2017 to learn to predict the top enrollment rate, and the trained model predicts the top enrollment rate in 2018. A prediction experiment was performed using RNN, a Deep Learning model, for the high-ranking enrollment rate in the special education zone. In this paper, we define the correlation between the high-ranking enrollment rate by analyzing the household income and the participation rate of private education about the current status of private institutes in regions with high education fever and the effect on the number of students by age
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