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충남지역 아파트 경매시장의 낙찰 결정요인

A Study on the Decision Factors of Apartment Auction in Chungnam

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초록

This study analyzed what variables would influence whether a real estate item would be auctioned off or not by conducting logistic regression analysis with the items that were auctioned off and the ones that failed in bidding. The study tried to identify the factors that would affect successful bidding decisions with whether an item was auctioned off or not as a dependent variable and 12 internal factors of auction and four external factors of auction as independent variables. The variables of significance level include appraised values(Exp(β)=1.000), the lowest prices(Exp(β)=49.419), number of elapsed years(Exp(β)=0.994), and number of rooms(Exp(β)=0.570). That is, when the appraised values and the lowest prices were higher and the number of elapsed years and rooms was lower, they had more impacts on the successful bidding rates. Unlike the previous studies that focused on contract prices, the present study identified the factors to influence successful bidding by comparing the internal variables with the external ones in their design based on residential real estate that was auctioned off. In addition, it compared local regions with the Seoul area, thus holding specific significance of analysis.

Abstract

This study analyzed what variables would influence whether a real estate item would be auctioned off or not by conducting logistic regression analysis with the items that were auctioned off and the ones that failed in bidding. The study tried to identify the factors that would affect successful bidding decisions with whether an item was auctioned off or not as a dependent variable and 12 internal factors of auction and four external factors of auction as independent variables. The variables of significance level include appraised values(Exp(β)=1.000), the lowest prices(Exp(β)=49.419), number of elapsed years(Exp(β)=0.994), and number of rooms(Exp(β)=0.570). That is, when the appraised values and the lowest prices were higher and the number of elapsed years and rooms was lower, they had more impacts on the successful bidding rates. Unlike the previous studies that focused on contract prices, the present study identified the factors to influence successful bidding by comparing the internal variables with the external ones in their design based on residential real estate that was auctioned off. In addition, it compared local regions with the Seoul area, thus holding specific significance of analysis.

참고문헌 (9)

  1. 김형호, "거시경제변수와 부동산 경매시장의 영향관계에 관한 실증연구 - 강남 3구와 강북 3구를 대상으로 -", 주거환경, 13(1), pp.307~322 (2015), 한국주거환경학회
  2. 김종덕, "부동산경매시장 참여자들의 행동특성에 관한 연구", 한국주거환경학회, 5(1) (2007)
  3. 문희명, "서울시 아파트의 경매 낙찰결정특성", 주거환경, 10(1), pp.73~90 (2012), 한국주거환경학회
  4. 송영석, "부동산 경매시장의 아파트 낙찰가격 결정요인에 관한 연구", 석사, 도시계획학, pp.2003
  5. 오승현, "부동산 경매가격에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 실증연구", 석사, 부동산, pp.2007
  6. 박민수, "부동산 경매시장의 아파트 낙찰가격에 영향을 미치는 요인들에 관한 연구 : 서울시 아파트를 중심으로", 석사, 경제학과 부동산경제학전공, pp.2012
  7. 황유경, "부동산 경매에 있어서 낙찰가에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구 : 서울시 아파트를 중심으로", 석사, 부동산학, pp.2005
  8. 정가연, "부동산 경매시장의 아파트 낙찰가격 결정요인에 관한 연구 : 버블세븐 지역을 중심으로", 석사, 부동산학, pp.2010
  9. 조별환, "부동산경매 낙찰여부 결정요인에 관한 연구 - 서울시 동부지방법원을 중심으로 -", 부동산학연구, 17(3), pp.89~103 (2011), 한국부동산분석학회

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