2030년대 안보환경의 전망과 한국 공군의 항공·우주력 발전방향

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to present the direction of the Republic of Korea Air Force's air and space power construction in the context of the security environment in 2030. First, this research looks at changes in the political, social and military circumstances of the world in the future. In this regard, the analysis of the environment of the Korean Peninsula has been conducted. Second, this suggests several policies for future of the Republic of Korea Air Force based on earlier analysis. This paper pays attention to the gradual rise in the number of non-state actors in the world and multipolarization of international regime from now on. In particular, the possibility of global disputes is likely to increase due to the presence of emerging powers such as China and India, and the dwindling influence of the United States. The situation which Republic of Korea and North Korea face will be regarded as the main security issues in the region with the possibility of global disputes as mentioned earlier. The social environment is expected to influence the expansion of the individual's authority in politics and the influence of population statistics. With the development of middle class growth, education, technology and health care, aging populations, globalization, and urbanization are expected to intensify. The military environment will intensify the shift in strategy and resource competition on the Asian and Korean peninsula and diversify the ways of the war. Also, the military technology to support it will be beyond imagination and the possibility of international conflicts. Furthermore, damage will beyond our imagination as military technology develop. Based on theses changing environment, this study suggests several policies for the Republic of Korea Air Force’ air and space power construction in 2030. ① Building independent operational capability for Wartime operational control transfer. ② Establishment of independent missile defense system including Kill Chain, KAMD, KMPR. ③ Acquisition next-generation fighter such as F-35A. ④ Enforcement of Airborne Early Warning and Control and Acquisition Aerial Tanker. ⑤ Increasing C4ISR capabilities especially in the area of air and space power. ⑥ Enforcement of unmanned aerial vehicle system, UAV. ⑦ Enhancement of cyber warfare and electronic warefare capabilities. ⑧ Enhancement of global power projection such as long-range transport planes for PKO etc. ⑨ Reorganization of Air Force structure and personnel structure suitable for future operations.