TESTING THE VALIDITY OF PURCHASING POWER PARITY FOR ASIAN COUNTRIES DURING THE CURRENT FLOAT
0
조회
0
다운로드
1
인용
0
참고문헌
초록
Abstract
Previous studies on purchasing power parity (PPP), using unit root tests, have tested either the null hypothesis of a unit root or the null of stationary real exchange rate. It has been argued that using either approach is insufficient to confirm the existence or non-existence of PPP. To strengthen inferences made about a series, the two approaches should be applied within the same study. In contrast to previous studies undertaken to test PPP in developing countries, this paper tests PPP for a sample of developing countries in the Asian financial crisis countries during the current float. The paper applies the ADF and PP tests to test the null of a unit root and the newly developed KPSS test to test the null of stationarity. The null of a unit root can be rejected for Indonesia, Korea and Thailand. We cannot reject the null of stationarity for all countries except for Singapore. Joint testing of both nulls confirms stationarity for Indonesia and Korea. The impact of the Asian financial crisis on the behavior of the real exchange rates in the crisis countries is examined using Perron’s unit root test that accounts for potential structural breaks. The results indicate evidence of stationarity for Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, and Thailand.
참고문헌 (33)
- Abuaf, "Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run", 45(1), pp.157~174 (1990)
- Achy, "Parity Reversion Persistence in Real Exchange Rates: Middle Income Country Case", 35, pp.541~553 (2003)
- Baharaumshah, "Purchasing Power Parity in South East Asian Countries Economies: A Cointegration Approach", 11(2), pp.141~153 (1997)
- Baum, "Long Memory or Structural Breaks Can Either Explain Nonstationary Real Exchange Rates under the Current Float", (9), pp.359~76 (1999), Institutions and Money
- Culver, "Long-run Purchasing Power Parity with Short-run Data Evidence with a Null Hypothesis of Stationarity", (18), pp.751~768 (1999)
- DeJong, "?Integration Versus Trend Stationarity in Time Series", ? eco(metrica), pp.423~433 (1992)
- Diebold, "?On the Power of Dickey-Fuller Tests against Fractional Alternatives", pp.155~160 (1991)
- Do?anlar, "Testing Long-run Validity of Purchasing Power Parity for Asian Countries", 6(3), pp.147~51 (1999)
- Engle, "Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All", (51), pp.243~73 (2000)
- Frankel, "International Capital Mobility and Crowding-out in the US Economy Imperfect Integration of Financial Markets or Goods Markets? In How Open is theSALAH A", pp.33~67 (1986), Lexington Lexington Books
- A Commentary in, "Zen and the Art of Modern Macroeconomics Monetary Policy for a Volatile Global Economy American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research", pp.117~23 (1990)
- Frankel, "A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity Mean Reversion within and between Countries", 40, pp.209~224 (1996)
- Rogoff, "?Perspectives on PPP and Long Run Real Exchange Rates" (1994)
- Gan, "?Characterizing Real Exchange Rate Behavior of Selected East Asian Economies ? Journal of Economic Development", pp.67~92 (1994)
- Glen, "?Real Exchange Rates in the Short ? Journal of International Economics", pp.147~166 (1992)
- Heimonen, "Stationarity of the European Real Exchange Rate - Evidence from Panel Data", 31, pp.673~677 (1999)
- "International Monetary Fund", pp.~May (1998), Washington DC.
- Kuo, "Re-Examining Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity", (18), pp.251~66 (1999)
- Kwiatkowski, "?Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against the Alternative of a Unit Root ? Journal of Economics", pp.159~178 (1992)
- Levin, "Unit Root Tests in Panel Data University of California Department of Economics", pp.~23 (1992)
- New Results, "Unit Root Tests in Panel Data University of California Department of Economics", pp.~56 (1993)
- Lothian, "Real Exchange Rate Behavior: The Recent Float from the Perspective of the Past Two Centuries", 104(3), pp.488~509 (1996)
- Luintel, "Real Exchange Rate Behavior: Evidence from Black Markets", (15), pp.161~85 (2000)
- MacDonald, "Panel Unit Root Tests and Real Exchange Rates", (50), pp.7~11 (1996)
- Mark, "?Real and Nominal Exchange Rates in the Long Run ? Journal of International Economics", pp.115~136 (1990)
- Montiel, "Exchange Rate Policy and Macroeconomic Management in ASEAN Countries", pp.Washington DC~J. Hicklin^et al. IMF. (1997)
- O?Connell P, "The Overvaluation of Purchasing Power Parity", (44), pp.1~19 (1998)
- Papell, "Searching for Stationarity Purchasing Power Parity under the Current Float", (43), pp.313~332 (1997)
- Rogoff, "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle", (34), pp.647~67 (1996)
- Tobin, "Asian Financial Crisis", 10, pp.351~353 (1998)
- Wang, "Testing PPP for Asian Economies during the Recent Floating Period", (7), pp.545~548 (2000)
- Weliwita, "Cointegration Tests and the Long-run Purchasing Power Parity: Examination of Six Currencies in Asia", 23(1), pp.103~115 (1998)
- Wu, "Are Real Exchange Rates Stationary Based on Panel Unit Root Tests? Evidence from Pacific Basin Countries", (4), pp.243~52 (1999)
