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Evaluating the Empact of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Study

Sandrina Berthault Moreira
경제연구소 (Hanyang Economic Research Institute)|2005.12|Journal of Economic Development|제30권 제2호|pp. 25-48

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참고문헌

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Abstract

One branch of the literature on aid effectiveness attempts to measure the contribution of foreign aid to the growth of developing countries. The micro results are clear and encouraging: foreign aid is beneficial to economic growth. However, until recently, the macro results were inconclusive: the impact of aid on growth was positive, negative, or even non-existent, in statistical terms. This contradiction is known as the “micro-macro paradox”. Certain methodological and econometric flaws inherent in the assessments being carried out up to the mid-nineties may provide an explanation for the misleading macro results. Examining a large panel data set, I have found that foreign aid has had a positive impact on economic growth. In light of these findings, I conclude that earlier-generation work is in accordance with the new and recent generation of aid effectiveness studies. Thus, less importance should be attributed to the “micro-macro paradox” as an overall appraisal of aid effectiveness. In terms of magnitude, I have also found that aid has less effect on growth in the short-run than in the long-run. I also conclude that the time lags in the aid-growth relationship should not be ignored.

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