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MITIGATING LOAN REPAYMENT TROUBLES DURING MICROFINANCE EXPANSION: EVIDENCE FROM A LARGE PANEL

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Using linear panel methods, this article tests whether the surge in microfinance lending during the boom years of 2004-2008 hurt loan repayment rates. Surprisingly, we find evidence that loan delinquency is inversely related to microfinance growth. This result is contrary to the long-standing view that fast microfinance expansion leads to increased loan delinquency. This suggests the existence of a larger pool of high quality borrowers that may have not yet been tapped in new markets. This finding is robust across estimation methods and even after controlling for cross-sectional and temporal dependencies.

Abstract

Using linear panel methods, this article tests whether the surge in microfinance lending during the boom years of 2004-2008 hurt loan repayment rates. Surprisingly, we find evidence that loan delinquency is inversely related to microfinance growth. This result is contrary to the long-standing view that fast microfinance expansion leads to increased loan delinquency. This suggests the existence of a larger pool of high quality borrowers that may have not yet been tapped in new markets. This finding is robust across estimation methods and even after controlling for cross-sectional and temporal dependencies.

참고문헌 (15)

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  9. Human Development Report 2013, "Malik, K.", United Nations Development Programme, ~ (2013)
  10. Newey, W. K., "A Simple, Positive Semi-definite, Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix", Econometrica, 55(3), pp.703~708 (1987)
  11. Rosenberg, R., "Measuring Results of Microfinance Institutions: Minimum Indicators that Donors and Investors should Track-a Technical Guide", CGAP, ~ (2009)
  12. Stephens, B., "MFI Benchmark Analysis: Operating Efficiency: Victim to the Crisis?", Micro Banking Bulletin, 19, pp.39~44 (2009)
  13. "Managing High and Hyperinflation in Microfinance: Opportunity International's Experience in Bulgaria and Russia" (2001)[URL]
  14. Woolley, J. T., "Microfinance Performance and Domestic GDP Growth: Testing the Resiliency of Microfinance Institutions to Economic Change", Stanford Journal of Microfinance, 1(1), pp.17~ (2008)
  15. Yimga, J. O., "The impact of high microfinance growth on loan portfolio. Journal of International Development", Journal of International Development, 28, pp.697~714 (2015)

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