수도권 여름철 집중호우 장기변동성
Long-term Variability of Summer Heavy Rainfall in the Seoul Metropolitan Area
2
조회
0
다운로드
3
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Abstract
The long-term variability of summer heavy rainfall in the Seoul metropolitan area was investigated in this study for the period of 1970-2018. The study period was divided into two phases; first phase from 1970 to 1994 and the second phase was 1995 to 2018. Long-term variability of summer heavy rainfall was examined using the change-point analysis method. Annual mean heavy rainfall amounts showed increasing trends in Seoul and Incheon during summer monsoon season (June to August). Results revealed that the changes in frequency and amount of heavy rainfall were observed larger in the months of July and August as compare to June during the second phase. The upper-level trough was prominently developed at the west of the Seoul metropolitan area and the core region of the upper-level jet was shifted to the east of the area during second phase. The western North Pacific subtropical high was expanded westward and moisture flux flowed along the southwesterly wind, resultant increasing moisture supply. The temperature and humidity tended to increase recently at the lower and mid-levels.
참고문헌 (18)
- 최광용, "우리나라 사계절 다중일 누적 극한강수현상의 시･공간적 변화", 한국지역지리학회지, 21(1), pp.98~113 (2015), 한국지역지리학회
- 최광용, "Recent Spatial and Temporal Changes in Means and Extreme Events of Temperature and Precipitation across the Republic of Korea", 대한지리학회지, 43(5), pp.681~700 (2008), 대한지리학회
- 최영은, "남한 극한강수사상의 특성과 변화, 1954~2010년 -규모, 발생빈도, 강수량 기여비율을 중심으로-", 기후연구, 6(1), pp.45~58 (2011), 기후연구소
- 최영은, "최근 우리나라 여름철 극한강수의 빈도와 규모 변화에 관한 연구", 국토지리학회지, 47(1), pp.83~97 (2013), 국토지리학회
- Ha, K. -J., "On interannual characteristics of climate prediction center merged analysis precipitation over the Korean peninsula during the summer monsoon season", International Journal of Climatology, 25(1), pp.99~116 (2005)
- Ho, C.-H., "The variability of precipitation in Korea", Journal of Korean Meteorological Society, 24(1), pp.38~48 (1988)[DOI]
- IPCC, "Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change" (2013), Cambridge Uiversity Press
- Jung, I. -W., "Recent trends of mean and extreme precipitation in Korea", International Journal of Climatology, 31(3), pp.359~370 (2011)
- Kang, I. -S., "Longrange forecast of summer precipitation in Korea", Journal of Korean Meteorological Society, 28(3), pp.283~292 (1992)[DOI]
- Kim, Y., "Opposite trends in summer precipitation in South and North Korea", International Journal of Climatology, 32(15), pp.2311~2319 (2012)
- Korea Meteorological Administration, "Changma white book" (2011)
- MinHo Kwon, "Decadal change in east Asian summer monsoon circulation in the mid-1990s", Geophysical Research Letters, 34(21) (2007), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
- MinHo Kwon, "Decadal change in relationship between east Asian and WNP summer monsoons", Geophysical Research Letters, 32(16) (2005), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
- 이승호, "한국의 유역별 호우변화에 관한 연구", 한국지역지리학회지, 17(5), pp.505~520 (2011), 한국지역지리학회
- Seung-Ki Min, "REVIEW Changes in Weather and Climate Extremes over Korea and Possible Causes: A Review", Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 51(2), pp.103~121 (2015), 한국기상학회
- 문자연, "종관 및 대규모 순환과 관련된 우리나라 여름철 극한강수 특성 연구", 기후연구, 10(4), pp.287~296 (2015), 기후연구소[DOI]
- 박창용, "최근 한반도 여름철 강수특성의 변화", 대한지리학회지, 43(3), pp.324~336 (2008), 대한지리학회
- Taylor, W. A., "Change-Point Analysis: A Powerful New Tool for Detecting Changes", ~ (2000)