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The Neoconservative Approach to North Korea: Its Prospects under the next U.S. Administration

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Peace through strength, regime change to democracy, and preemptive strikes areknown to be neoconservative policies which are based on such values as hegemonicstability, democratic peace and war as a necessary evil. If a Republican candidatewins office in January 2017, the new U.S. administration will undertake a bottomup-review of the North Korea policy. The key variable will be whether NorthKorea returns to the dialogue or conducts another long-range missile test and/ornuclear test before the new U.S. administration comes in. If the long-range missiletest makes a big advance by confirming North Korea’s capability of reaching theU.S. mainland and if the nuclear test turns out to be a success of miniaturizing nuclearwarheads that can be placed on the top of ICBMs, the new U.S. administrationwill take it as a game changer. This kind of strategic game changer could reviveneoconservatism that has been ostensibly dead in the U.S. security communityand it could be applied to North Korea.

Abstract

Peace through strength, regime change to democracy, and preemptive strikes areknown to be neoconservative policies which are based on such values as hegemonicstability, democratic peace and war as a necessary evil. If a Republican candidatewins office in January 2017, the new U.S. administration will undertake a bottomup-review of the North Korea policy. The key variable will be whether NorthKorea returns to the dialogue or conducts another long-range missile test and/ornuclear test before the new U.S. administration comes in. If the long-range missiletest makes a big advance by confirming North Korea’s capability of reaching theU.S. mainland and if the nuclear test turns out to be a success of miniaturizing nuclearwarheads that can be placed on the top of ICBMs, the new U.S. administrationwill take it as a game changer. This kind of strategic game changer could reviveneoconservatism that has been ostensibly dead in the U.S. security communityand it could be applied to North Korea.

참고문헌 (52)

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