L-THIA를 이용한 서울특별시 유출량 공간적 분석: 2011년 7월 27일 강우를 중심으로
Analysis of Spatical Distribution of Surface Runoff in Seoul City Using L-THIA: Case Study on Event at July 27, 2011
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초록
Temporal and spatical surface runoff by heavy rainfall during 25～28 July, 2011 causing urban flooding at Seoul were analyzed using Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA). L-THIA was calibrated for 1988～1997 and validated for 1998～2007using monthly observed data at Hangangseoul watershed which covers 90 % of Seoul city. As a results of calibration and validation of L-THIA at Hangangseoul watershed, Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients were 0.99 for calibration and 0.99 for validation. The simulated values were good agreement with observed data and both calibrated and validated levels were “very good” based on calibration criteria. The calibrated curve number (CN) values of residential and other urban area represented 87 % and 93 % of impervious area, respectively, which were maximum percentage of impervious area. As a result of L-THIA application at Seoul city during 25～28 July, 2011, most of rainfall (54 %, 287.49 mm) and surface runoff (65 %, 247.32) were generated at 27 July, 2011 and a significant amount of rainfall and surface runoff were occurred at southeastern Seoul city. As a result of bi-hourly spatial and temporal analysis during 27 July, 2011, surface runoff during 2:00～4:00 and 8:00～10:00 were much higher than those during other times and surface runoff located at Seocho-gu during 6:00～8:00 represented maximum value with maximum rainfall intensity which caused landslide from Umyun mountain.
Abstract
Temporal and spatical surface runoff by heavy rainfall during 25～28 July, 2011 causing urban flooding at Seoul were analyzed using Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA). L-THIA was calibrated for 1988～1997 and validated for 1998～2007using monthly observed data at Hangangseoul watershed which covers 90 % of Seoul city. As a results of calibration and validation of L-THIA at Hangangseoul watershed, Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients were 0.99 for calibration and 0.99 for validation. The simulated values were good agreement with observed data and both calibrated and validated levels were “very good” based on calibration criteria. The calibrated curve number (CN) values of residential and other urban area represented 87 % and 93 % of impervious area, respectively, which were maximum percentage of impervious area. As a result of L-THIA application at Seoul city during 25～28 July, 2011, most of rainfall (54 %, 287.49 mm) and surface runoff (65 %, 247.32) were generated at 27 July, 2011 and a significant amount of rainfall and surface runoff were occurred at southeastern Seoul city. As a result of bi-hourly spatial and temporal analysis during 27 July, 2011, surface runoff during 2:00～4:00 and 8:00～10:00 were much higher than those during other times and surface runoff located at Seocho-gu during 6:00～8:00 represented maximum value with maximum rainfall intensity which caused landslide from Umyun mountain.
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